Ali AlQaisi vs Tony Kelley Pick, 10/10/2020 Predictions UFC Fight Island 5 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 10/9/2020

Ali AlQaisi vs Tony Kelley

UFC Fight Island 5

Flash Forum in Abu Dhabi, UAE

Saturday, October 10, 2020

Ali AlQaisi will battle Tony Kelley at UFC Fight Island 5 on Saturday, October 10, 2020. The opener has AlQaisi coming in at +190 while Kelley is priced at -230.

Ali "The Royal Fighter" AlQaisi has a record of 8-4-0. The 30-year-old steps on the scale at 135 lbs and measures in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 68". Tony "Primetime" Kelley measures 5'9" and steps on the scale at 135 lbs. The switch fighter walks into the Octagon holding a record of 6-2-0. The 33-year-old has a wingspan of 70". With respect to significant strikes, Ali AlQaisi connects on 2.93 per minute and Tony Kelley is connecting on 7.60 significant strikes per minute. AlQaisi lands 41% of the significant strikes he attempts while Kelley is connecting on 50%. In terms of the fighter's defense, "The Royal Fighter" absorbs 2.40 significant strikes per minute while "Primetime" takes 7.60. AlQaisi also defends 50% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way and Kelley deflects 38% of the strikes thrown his way.

Concerning grappling, Ali AlQaisi is the more capable grappler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 2.00 times per 3 rds. AlQaisi is scoring a takedown on 22% of his attempts and stopping 60% of all takedown tries against him. Kelley is taking his opponents to the canvas on 10% of his takedown attempts and thwarting 90% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. In terms of going for the submission, AlQaisi is the more experienced submission fighter by going for 1.0 sub per 15 minutes while Kelley attempts 0.5 finishes per 3 rds.

The last time he fought, Ali AlQaisi fought Irwin Rivera and ended up taking the loss by way of split decision in round 3. Rivera landed 45 of 82 total strikes that he let go in that contest. AlQaisi walked away from this fight having landed 54 of 118 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Rivera landed 36 of 73, which gave him a percentage of 49%. He landed 30 of 61 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the Octagon, AlQaisi landed 41% of his significant strikes by sticking 44 of 105. Of all the significant strikes, he landed 28 of 86 aimed at the head. 77% of the significant strikes connected on by Rivera and 81% of them connected on by AlQaisi were tallied at a distance.

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In the last Octagon appearance for Tony Kelley, he battled Kai Kamaka and ended up taking the loss by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Kamaka ended up landing 78% of his significant strikes at distance and Kelley ended up connecting on 66% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Kelley ended up connecting on 50% of his significant strikes attempted by connecting on 114 of 226. He ended up landing 63 of 152 significant strikes to the head. Kamaka ended up connecting on 114 of 185 significant strikes in that fight. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he ended up landing 49 of 113 aimed at the head. Discussing total strikes attempted in that contest, Kamaka was 138 of 216 and Kelley was 185 of 298 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other bouts on the card to watch

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Giga Chikadze takes on Omar Morales. Chikadze holds a career mark of 10-2-0. The 32-year-old steps on the scale at 145 lbs and measures 6'0". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 74". Morales measures in at 5'11" and is fighting at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage holding a record of 10-0-0. The 34-year-old stretches 73". Regarding grappling, Giga Chikadze is able to score a takedown 0.51 times per 15 min and Omar Morales gets a takedown 0.42 times per 15 min. When talking about striking, Chikadze tags his opponents 3.31 strikes/min and is connecting on 44% of the strikes that he throws. Joining him in the Octagon is Omar Morales, who connects on 37% of the strikes he attempts and connects for an average of 3.85 per min.

Another bout to watch is when Cory Sandhagen is set to square up in the Octagon against Marlon Moraes. Moraes steps into the Octagon holding a record of 23-6-1. The 32-year-old weighs 135 lbs and stands in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 67". Sandhagen stands in at 5'11" and is weighing in at 135 lbs. The switch fighter holds a career record of 12-2-0. The 28-year-old has a wingspan of 70". When it comes to takedowns, Marlon Moraes is stopping 66% of the takedowns his opponents attempt and is finishing his takedown attempts on 25% of his attempts. Sandhagen is finishing his takedown tries on 50% of his attempts and thwarts 33% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. In the category of striking, Moraes is taking 3.69 strikes/min and he dishes out 3.53 per minute. Sandhagen, on the other side, absorbs 4.08 strikes/minute and dishes out 6.95 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Tony Kelley (-230)

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Ali AlQaisi vs Tony Kelley Pick, 10/10/2020 Predictions UFC Fight Island 5 Odds

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