Alexandr Romanov vs Marcos Rogerio de Lima Pick, 11/7/2020 Predictions UFC Vegas 13 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 11/6/2020

Alexandr Romanov vs Marcos Rogerio de Lima

UFC Vegas 13

UFC Apex in Las Vegas, NV

Saturday, November 7, 2020

Alexandr Romanov will battle Marcos Rogerio de Lima at UFC Vegas 13 on Saturday, November 7, 2020. The line has Romanov at -370 while Lima is coming in at +310.

Alexandr "King Kong" Romanov looks to add a victory to his career record of 12-0-0. The 29-year-old is fighting at 262 lbs and stands in at 6'2". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 75". Marcos "Pezao" Rogerio de Lima stands 6'1" and is fighting at 253 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a victory to his record of 17-7-1. The 35-year-old extends his reach 75". With respect to significant strikes, Alexandr Romanov is landing 5.87 per min and Marcos Rogerio de Lima is connecting on 3.78 significant strikes per minute. Romanov is landing 37% of the significant strikes he tries while Rogerio de Lima lands 54%. Regarding defense, "King Kong" allows 0.75 significant strikes per min while "Pezao" absorbs 2.63. Romanov also deflects 53% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way and Rogerio de Lima thwarts 54% of the shots thrown his way.

Concerning grappling, Alexandr Romanov is the more effective wrestler as he scores a takedown 6.41 times per 3 rounds. Romanov is scoring a takedown on 90% of the times he tries and is defending 10% of all takedown attempts. Rogerio de Lima is finishing his takedowns on 60% of his takedown tries and thwarting 36% of the tries against him. In terms of subbing the opposition, Romanov is the more skilled fighter by attempting 3.2 finishes per 3 rounds while Rogerio de Lima tries 0.8 finishes per 15 minutes.

In his last appearance in the Octagon, Alexandr Romanov faced Roque Martinez and wound up taking home the win by way of an arm triangle in round 2. Martinez ended up landing 29 of 41 total strikes attempted in that fight. Romanov ended the night having landed 60 of 160 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Martinez landed 7 of 15, which gave him a rate of 46%. He landed 3 of 10 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Romanov ended up landing 37% of his significant strikes by sticking 55 of 147. Of those significant strikes, he landed 47 of 139 aimed at the head. 85% of the significant strikes connected on by Martinez and 7% of them landed by Romanov were done at a distance.

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In the last bout for Marcos Rogerio de Lima, he squared up with Ben Sosoli and took home the victory via a punch to the head in round 1. Sosoli connected on 100% of his significant strikes at distance and Lima connected on 94% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Lima ended up landing 55% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 19 of 34. He connected on 15 of 30 significant strikes aimed at the head. Sosoli connected on 5 of 17 significant strikes in that battle. Of all the significant strikes, he ended up landing 4 of 16 aimed at the head. In terms of total strikes that he threw in that fight, Sosoli connected on 5 of 17 while Lima connected on 19 of 34 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights to keep an eye on

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Darren Elkins goes up against Eduardo Garagorri. Elkins looks to add a victory to his career record of 25-9-0. The 36-year-old is weighing in at 145 lbs and comes in at 5'10". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 71". Garagorri measures 5'9" and tips the scales at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage with a mark of 13-1-0. The 31-year-old reaches 70". In terms of takedowns, Darren Elkins is averaging a takedown 2.43 times per 15 min and Eduardo Garagorri takes his opponents down 0.79 times per 3 rds. In the striking category, Elkins lands an average of 3.54 strikes per min and connects on 37% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side of the cage you've got Eduardo Garagorri, who tags the opposition on 54% of his attempted strikes and is landing 3.75 per minute.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Anthony Birchak is set to clash with Gustavo Lopez. Lopez looks to add a win to his career record of 11-5-0. The 31-year-old is weighing in at 135 lbs and stands in at 5'5". The orthodox fighter has a reach of 67". Birchak stands in at 5'8" and records a weight of 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 16-6-0. The 34-year-old has a reach of 69". When it comes to takedowns, Gustavo Lopez curbs 27% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is finishing his takedowns on 10% of his tries. Birchak is taking his opponents to the mat on 16% of the tries he takes and defends against 83% of all takedown attempts. In the matter of striking, Lopez is taking 4.87 strikes/min and he is dishing out 0.93 per minute. Birchak, on the other hand, is taking 2.26 strikes/min and is connecting on 3.98 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Marcos Rogerio de Lima (+310)

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Alexandr Romanov vs Marcos Rogerio de Lima Pick, 11/7/2020 Predictions UFC Vegas 13 Odds

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