Alex Oliveira vs Peter Sobotta Picks and Predictions 7-25-2020 UFC Fight Island 3 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 7/24/2020

Alex Oliveira vs Peter Sobotta

UFC Fight Island 3

Saturday, July 25, 2020

Alex Oliveira will face off against Peter Sobotta at UFC Fight Island 3 at UFC Fight Island on Saturday, July 25, 2020. The opener has Oliveira priced at -175 while Sobotta is coming in at +155.

Alex "Cowboy" Oliveira will be looking to add a win to his career total of 20-8-1. The 32-year-old is weighing in at 170 lbs and measures in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter stretches 76". Peter Sobotta comes in at 6'0" and steps on the scale at 170 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a victory to his total of 17-6-1. The 33-year-old has a reach of 75". In terms of significant strikes, Alex Oliveira is landing 2.88 per min and Peter Sobotta connects on 2.17 significant strikes per minute. Oliveira is connecting on 50% of the significant strikes he tries while Sobotta connects on 39%. Regarding defending in the cage, "Cowboy" allows 2.18 significant strikes per min while Sobotta absorbs 2.89. Oliveira also defends 47% of the significant strikes that are aimed in his direction and Sobotta is able to defend against 59% of the shots thrown his way.

In terms of takedowns, Alex Oliveira is the more apt wrestler as he takes his opponents down 2.69 times per 3 rounds. Oliveira is taking his opponents to the canvas on 37% of the times he tries and stopping 58% of all takedowns attempted on him. Sobotta is finishing his takedown tries on 35% of his takedown attempts and is stopping 77% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. In terms of subbing the opposition, Oliveira is the more apt fighter by trying 0.9 finishes per 15 minutes while Sobotta looks to get 0.6 finishes per 15 minutes.

The last time he fought, Alex Oliveira squared up with Max Griffin and got a win for the night via split decision in round 3. Griffin ended up landing 62 of 96 total strikes that he let go in that fight. Oliveira ended the night having landed 61 of 98 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Griffin ended up landing 23 of 50, giving him a percentage of 46%. He landed 17 of 40 significant strikes to the head. Statistically, Oliveira ended up landing 51% of his significant strikes by connecting on 40 of 77. Of all the significant strikes, he landed 21 of 56 aimed at the head. 86% of the significant strikes connected on by Griffin and 87% of them landed by Oliveira were tallied at distance.

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In the last fight for Peter Sobotta, he battled Leon Edwards and wound up losing the fight via a punch to the head while on the ground in round 3. Edwards ended up connecting on 38% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance while Sobotta connected on 93% of his significant strikes at distance. Sobotta landed 37% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 16 of 43. He connected on 8 of 34 significant strikes to the head. Edwards ended up landing 42 of 86 significant strikes in that battle. Of all the significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 37 of 78 aimed at the head. In relation to total strikes attempted in that contest, Edwards landed 71 of 117 and Sobotta landed 57 of 90 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other fights on the card to watch out for

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Nicolas Dalby fights Jesse Ronson. Dalby steps into the cage with a record of 18-3-1. The 35-year-old weighs 170 lbs and comes in at 5'11". The orthodox fighter stretches 74". Ronson stands 5'10" and is weighing in at 170 lbs. The southpaw fighter looks to add a win to his career record of 21-10-0. The 34-year-old reaches 70". Regarding grappling, Nicolas Dalby scores a takedown 1.80 times per 15 min while Jesse Ronson is able to score a takedown 0.67 times per 15 minutes. In terms of striking, Dalby is connecting on 3.03 strikes/min and connecting on 38% of the strikes that he throws. The other guy in this fight is Jesse Ronson, who lands 46% of the strikes he attempts and is connecting on 3.09 per min.

Another must see fight on the night is when Mike Grundy is set to fight Movsar Evloev. Evloev steps into the cage with a record of 12-0-0. The 26-year-old records a weight of 145 lbs and comes in at 5'7". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 72". Grundy stands in at 5'7" and tips the scales at 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his record of 12-1-0. The 33-year-old extends his reach 72". In terms of wrestling, Movsar Evloev is able to prevent 85% of the takedowns his opponents go for and is taking his opponents to the canvas on 33% of the times he tries. Grundy is finishing his takedown tries on 33% of the tries he takes and is able to defend against 100% of the takedowns his opponents try. In the category of striking, Evloev takes 3.47 strikes/min while he dishes out 4.03 strikes/minute. Grundy, on the other hand, takes 2.27 strikes/minute and lands 3.40 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Alex Oliveira (-175)

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Alex Oliveira vs Peter Sobotta Picks and Predictions 7-25-2020 UFC Fight Island 3 Odds

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