Ryan Spann vs Sam Alvey Predictions, Picks, UFC 249 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 5/4/2020

Ryan Spann vs Sam Alvey

UFC 249

VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena

Saturday, May 9, 2020

Ryan Spann will enter the Octagon with Sam Alvey at UFC 249 at VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena on Saturday, May 9, 2020. The opener has Spann at -425 while Alvey is coming in at +340.

Ryan "Superman" Spann will be looking to add a win to his career total of 17-5-0. The 28-year-old steps on the scale at 205 lbs and measures 6'5". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 79". Sam "Smile'N" Alvey comes in at 6'2" and tips the scales at 205 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the cage holding a record of 33-13-0. The 33-year-old reaches 75". Regarding significant strikes, Ryan Spann lands 3.26 per min and Sam Alvey is connecting on 3.05 significant strikes per min. Spann is landing 43% of the significant strikes he tries and Alvey is connecting on 44%. In terms of the fighter's defense, "Superman" absorbs 2.54 significant strikes per min and "Smile'N" allows 3.20. Spann also stops 52% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way while Alvey deflects 55% of them.

Concerning takedowns, Ryan Spann is the more apt wrestler as he is averaging a takedown 0.60 times per 3 rds. Spann is finishing his takedown attempts on 33% of his attempts and stuffing 60% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Alvey is finishing his takedown tries on 16% of the takedowns he tries and thwarting 82% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Regarding sub attempts, Spann is the more apt fighter by attempting 2.4 subs per 15 min while Alvey attempts 0.1 subs per 15 minutes.

In his last bout, Ryan Spann squared up with Devin Clark and took home the win via a guillotine choke in round 2. Clark landed 22 of 42 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Spann ended the night having landed 17 of 48 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Clark ended up landing 17 of 37, giving him a percentage of 45%. He ended up landing 8 of 27 significant strikes aimed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Spann landed 35% of his significant strikes by connecting on 17 of 48. Out of those significant strikes, he was 14 of 44 to the head. 64% of the significant strikes landed by Clark and 47% of them landed by Spann were thrown at a distance.

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In the last bout for Sam Alvey, he battled Klidson Abreu and was defeated by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Abreu ended up connecting on 97% of the significant strikes he took from distance and Alvey ended up landing 75% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Alvey landed 36% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 28 of 77. He ended up connecting on 12 of 53 significant strikes aimed at the head. Abreu landed 36 of 89 significant strikes in that contest. Of all the significant strikes, he connected on 17 of 60 to the head. In terms of total strikes thrown in that contest, Abreu connected on 61 of 115 and Alvey was 67 of 117 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights to watch

One more match to look forward to is when Carla Esparza fights Michelle Waterson. Esparza comes into this fight holding a mark of 16-6-0. The 32-year-old weighs in at 115 lbs and stands in at 5'1". The orthodox fighter reaches 63". Waterson measures in at 5'3" and weighs in at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage holding a mark of 17-7-0. The 34-year-old extends her reach 62". In terms of takedowns, Carla Esparza gets a takedown 3.53 times per 15 min while Michelle Waterson takes her opponents to the mat 1.88 times per 15 minutes. Regarding striking, Esparza is connecting on 2.22 strikes/minute and landing 40% of her attempted strikes. On the other side we have Michelle Waterson, who connects on 53% of the strikes she attempts and is connecting on 3.35 per min.

One more can't miss bout is when Justin Gaethje is set to square up in the Octagon against Tony Ferguson. Ferguson steps into the Octagon holding a mark of 26-3-0. The 36-year-old tips the scales at 155 lbs and measures 5'11". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 76". Gaethje comes in at 5'11" and will fight at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout with a record of 21-2-0. The 31-year-old extends his reach 70". When it comes to takedowns, Tony Ferguson is able to curb 75% of his opponents' takedown tries and is scoring a takedown on 42% of his attempts. Gaethje is taking his opponents to the mat on 0% of the attempts he tries and prevents 80% of the takedowns his opponents try. In the category of striking, Ferguson is taking 3.75 strikes per minute and he is dishing out 5.81 strikes/minute. Gaethje, moreover, takes 9.67 strikes/min and deals 8.57 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Ryan Spann (-425)

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