Michael Johnson vs Thiago Moises Predictions, Picks, UFC Fight Night 173 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 5/6/2020

Michael Johnson vs Thiago Moises

UFC Fight Night 173

VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena

Wednesday, May 13, 2020

Michael Johnson will face off against Thiago Moises at UFC Fight Night 173 at VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena on Wednesday, May 13, 2020. The opener has Johnson priced at +106 while Moises is priced at -134.

Michael "The Menace" Johnson holds a career mark of 20-15-0. The 33-year-old weighs in at 155 lbs and measures in at 5'10". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 73". Thiago Moises measures in at 5'9" and weighs in at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his record of 12-4-0. The 25-year-old has a reach of 70". Regarding significant strikes, Michael Johnson is connecting on 4.22 per minute while Thiago Moises lands 2.96 significant strikes per minute. Johnson is landing 37% of the significant strikes he attempts and Moises connects on 45%. Regarding defending, "The Menace" allows 3.92 significant strikes per min while Moises absorbs 3.38. Johnson also prevents 58% of the significant strikes that are directed at him while Moises is able to deflect 57% of the shots thrown in his direction.

In terms of wrestling, Michael Johnson is not as effective of a wrestler as he is able to score a takedown 0.52 times per 15 min. Johnson is finishing his takedown attempts on 45% of his tries and thwarting 78% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Moises is finishing his takedowns on 36% of his takedown attempts and thwarting 68% of the attempts against him. Regarding going for the sub, Johnson is not as skilled of a technician by attempting 0.1 subs per 3 rounds while Moises tries 1.5 subs per 15 min.

In his last fight, Michael Johnson squared up with Stevie Ray and walked away in defeat by way of majority decision in round 3. Ray ended up landing 104 of 207 total strikes that he let go in that fight. Johnson ended the night having landed 81 of 176 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Ray ended up landing 85 of 188, which gave him a rate of 45%. He ended up landing 59 of 156 significant strikes directed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Johnson ended up landing 45% of his significant strikes by connecting on 78 of 173. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he was 46 of 134 to the head. 67% of the significant strikes landed by Ray and 98% of them landed by Johnson were thrown at a distance.

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In the last Octagon appearance for Thiago Moises, he battled Damir Ismagulov and wound up taking the loss via unanimous decision in round 3. Ismagulov landed 81% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance and Moises landed 88% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Moises connected on 31% of his significant strikes attempted by landing 36 of 114. He connected on 16 of 88 significant strikes directed at the head. Ismagulov connected on 71 of 188 significant strikes in that contest. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he connected on 28 of 132 directed at the head. In relation to total strikes attempted in that contest, Ismagulov was 73 of 191 while Moises connected on 37 of 115 total strikes.

Other fights to watch

One more match to look forward to is when Gabriel Benitez faces off with Omar Morales. Benitez walks into the Octagon with a mark of 21-8-0. The 31-year-old is fighting at 145 lbs and stands in at 5'8". The southpaw fighter reaches 71". Morales stands in at 5'11" and is weighing in at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter will be looking to add a win to his record of 9-0-0. The 34-year-old has an arm span of 73". In terms of takedowns, Gabriel Benitez is able to score a takedown 0.21 times per 15 minutes and Omar Morales is able to score a takedown 0.71 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, Benitez is landing 4.32 strikes per min and connecting on 41% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side of the cage we have Omar Morales, who tags the opposition on 49% of the strikes he attempts and connects on 3.60 per minute.

One more can't miss bout is when Brian Kelleher is set to square up against Hunter Azure. Azure walks into the Octagon with a mark of 8-0-0. The 28-year-old records a weight of 145 lbs and stands in at 5'8". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 69". Kelleher measures 5'6" and weighs in at 145 lbs. The switch fighter looks to add a win to his career total of 20-10-0. The 33-year-old has an arm span of 66". In terms of grappling, Hunter Azure deflects 75% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is getting his opponent to the mat on 33% of his attempts. Kelleher is finishing his takedown tries on 29% of the tries he takes and is able to stop 84% of the takedowns his opponents try. Concerning striking, Azure absorbs 1.57 strikes/min and he connects on 4.00 strikes/min. Kelleher, on the other side, absorbs 5.83 strikes per minute and is connecting on 4.87 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Thiago Moises (-134)

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Michael Johnson vs Thiago Moises Predictions, Picks, UFC Fight Night 173 Odds

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