Jeremy Stephens vs Calvin Kattar Predictions, Picks, UFC 249 Odds

by Tony Sink - 5/4/2020

Jeremy Stephens vs Calvin Kattar

UFC 249

VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena

Saturday, May 9, 2020

Jeremy Stephens will take on Calvin Kattar at UFC 249 at VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena on Saturday, May 9, 2020. The opening line has Stephens coming in at +200 while Kattar is at -240.

Jeremy "Lil' Heathen" Stephens steps into the cage holding a record of 28-17-0. The 33-year-old will fight at 145 lbs and measures in at 5'9". The orthodox fighter has an arm span of 71". Calvin Kattar comes in at 5'11" and weighs 145 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a mark of 20-4-0. The 32-year-old has an arm span of 72". Regarding significant strikes, Jeremy Stephens is landing 3.09 per minute while Calvin Kattar lands 5.12 significant strikes per minute. Stephens is landing 40% of the significant strikes he attempts and Kattar is landing 41%. Concerning their defense in the Octagon, "Lil' Heathen" absorbs 2.98 significant strikes per min and Kattar takes 6.36. Stephens also prevents 58% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way while Kattar thwarts 57% of them.

Concerning wrestling, Jeremy Stephens is the more competent wrestler as he is averaging a takedown 1.18 times per 3 rds. Stephens is getting his opponent to the mat on 38% of the times he tries and stuffing 65% of all takedowns attempted on him. Kattar is finishing his takedown tries on 33% of the takedowns he tries and stopping 77% of all takedowns attempted on him. Regarding sub attempts, Stephens is the more skilled technician by going for 0.4 subs per 3 rounds while Kattar goes for 0.3 subs per 3 rounds.

In his last appearance in the Octagon, Jeremy Stephens faced Yair Rodriguez and ended up taking the loss via unanimous decision in round 3. Rodriguez landed 136 of 213 total strikes that he threw in that contest. Stephens walked away from this fight having landed 99 of 156 total strikes. In the significant strikes category, Rodriguez landed 96 of 170, which means his percentage was 56%. He finished the fight landing 65 of 127 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the cage, Stephens ended up landing 52% of his significant strikes by sticking 50 of 95. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he was 35 of 76 pointed at the head. 56% of the significant strikes connected on by Rodriguez and 38% of them connected on by Stephens were tallied at a distance.

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In the last Octagon appearance for Calvin Kattar, he squared up with Zabit Magomedsharipov and wound up losing the fight via unanimous decision in round 3. Magomedsharipov ended up landing 98% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Kattar landed 88% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Kattar landed 37% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 80 of 213. He connected on 61 of 184 significant strikes directed at the head. Magomedsharipov ended up landing 96 of 250 significant strikes in that contest. Of those significant strikes, he ended up landing 46 of 181 aimed at the head. When discussing the total strikes thrown in this fight, Magomedsharipov connected on 100 of 255 and Kattar was 127 of 260 of all the strikes he threw.

Other fights to keep an eye on

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Greg Hardy goes up against Yorgan De Castro. Hardy looks to add a win to his career record of 5-2-0. The 31-year-old is weighing in at 265 lbs and measures in at 6'5". The orthodox fighter reaches 80". De Castro comes in at 6'0" and weighs in at 250 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a record of 6-0-0. The 33-year-old stretches 74". When it comes to grappling, Greg Hardy gets his opposition to the mat 0.56 times per 15 min and Yorgan De Castro takes his opponents down 0.41 times per 3 rounds. In terms of striking, Hardy lands an average of 4.77 strikes/minute and is landing 49% of the strikes that he throws. The other fighter in this bout is Yorgan De Castro, who lands 53% of his attempted strikes and connects on 3.58 per min.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Donald Cerrone is set to square up against Anthony Pettis. Pettis walks into the cage with a record of 22-10-0. The 33-year-old tips the scales at 155 lbs and stands in at 5'10". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 72". Cerrone stands in at 6'1" and weighs 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 36-14-0. The 37-year-old reaches 73". In terms of grappling, Anthony Pettis deflects 58% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is taking his opponents to the mat on 54% of his attempts. Cerrone is finishing his takedowns on 36% of the tries he takes and thwarts 73% of takedowns his opponents have tried. Concerning striking, Pettis takes 3.48 strikes per min and he is landing 2.97 strikes per minute. Cerrone, in contrast, is absorbing 4.27 strikes/min and deals 4.33 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Calvin Kattar (-240)

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