Greg Hardy vs Yorgan De Castro Predictions, Picks, UFC 249 Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 5/4/2020

Greg Hardy vs Yorgan De Castro

UFC 249

VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena

Saturday, May 9, 2020

Greg Hardy will take on Yorgan De Castro at UFC 249 at VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena on Saturday, May 9, 2020. The line has Hardy at -200 while Castro is priced at +170.

Greg "Prince of War" Hardy looks to add a win to his career record of 5-2-0. The 31-year-old is weighing in at 265 lbs and measures in at 6'5". The orthodox fighter reaches 80". Yorgan "The Mad Titan" De Castro comes in at 6'0" and weighs in at 250 lbs. The orthodox fighter holds a record of 6-0-0. The 33-year-old stretches 74". Regarding significant strikes, Greg Hardy is connecting on 4.77 per min and Yorgan De Castro is connecting on 3.58 significant strikes per min. Hardy is connecting on 49% of the significant strikes he throws while De Castro connects on 53%. When it comes to defending in the cage, "Prince of War" takes 3.21 significant strikes per min while "The Mad Titan" takes 1.40. Hardy also defends against 56% of the significant strikes that are thrown his way while De Castro is able to thwart 43% of the shots thrown in his direction.

When it comes to takedowns, Greg Hardy is the more effective wrestler as he is averaging a takedown 0.56 times per 15 min. Hardy is getting his opponent to the mat on 5% of his tries and is defending 83% of the takedowns his opponents try. De Castro is taking his opponents to the mat on 10% of his takedown attempts and is defending 75% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Regarding going for the sub, Hardy is less likely to go for the finish by going for 0.4 submissions per 3 rounds while De Castro attempts 0.6 submissions per 15 min.

In his last appearance in the Octagon, Greg Hardy faced Alexander Volkov and walked away in defeat by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Volkov landed 86 of 152 total strikes that he let go in that fight. Hardy ended the night having landed 51 of 140 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Volkov ended up landing 86 of 152, which gave him a percentage of 56%. He finished the fight landing 44 of 101 significant strikes aimed at the head. Statistically, Hardy landed 34% of his significant strikes by landing 46 of 135. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he connected on 23 of 92 to the head. 90% of the significant strikes connected on by Volkov and 950% of them landed by Hardy were thrown at a distance.

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In the last fight for Yorgan De Castro, he went up against Justin Tafa and wound up taking home the win by way of a punch to the head in round 1. Tafa ended up connecting on 33% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance while Castro ended up connecting on 100% of his significant strikes at distance. Castro ended up landing 33% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 4 of 12. He connected on 2 of 10 significant strikes to the head. Tafa landed 6 of 9 significant strikes in that contest. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 5 of 8 to the head. When discussing total strikes attempted in that contest, Tafa connected on 17 of 20 while Castro ended up landing 6 of 14 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other fights to watch out for

Another bout that you're not going to want to miss is when Anthony Pettis squares up in the Octagon against Donald Cerrone. Pettis walks into the cage with a record of 22-10-0. The 33-year-old tips the scales at 155 lbs and stands in at 5'10". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 72". Cerrone stands in at 6'1" and weighs 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the Octagon holding a mark of 36-14-0. The 37-year-old reaches 73". Regarding grappling, Anthony Pettis is averaging a takedown 0.67 times per 15 min while Donald Cerrone takes his opponents down 1.21 times per 15 min. Regarding striking, Pettis is connecting on 2.97 strikes per min and connecting on 46% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side of the cage you've got Donald Cerrone, who connects on 46% of the strikes he has thrown and lands an average of 4.33 per minute.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Fabricio Werdum is set to go up against Aleksei Oleinik. Oleinik comes into this fight with a record of 58-13-1. The 42-year-old is fighting at 240 lbs and stands in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 80". Werdum stands 6'4" and weighs 231 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his career total of 23-8-1. The 42-year-old stretches 77". When it comes to takedowns, Aleksei Oleinik defends against 20% of the takedowns fighters have attempted and is taking his opponents down on 46% of his attempts. Werdum is finishing his takedowns on 30% of the tries he takes and is able to deflect 31% of takedowns his opponents have tried. In the category of striking, Oleinik absorbs 3.25 strikes/minute and he is dealing 3.08 strikes per minute. Werdum, in contrast, takes 2.45 strikes per minute and is dishing out 3.61 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Guy's Pick: Take Greg Hardy (-200)

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