Bryce Mitchell vs Charles Rosa Predictions, Picks, UFC 249 Odds

by Tony Sink - 5/4/2020

Bryce Mitchell vs Charles Rosa

UFC 249

VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena

Saturday, May 9, 2020

Bryce Mitchell will face off against Charles Rosa at UFC 249 at VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena on Saturday, May 9, 2020. The opener has Mitchell priced at -160 while Rosa is priced at +140.

Bryce "Thug Nasty" Mitchell comes into this fight holding a mark of 12-1-0. The 25-year-old is weighing in at 145 lbs and measures in at 5'10". The southpaw fighter extends his reach 70". Charles "Boston Strong" Rosa stands 5'9" and is weighing in at 145 lbs. The switch fighter has a career record of 12-3-0. The 33-year-old reaches 69". In terms of significant strikes, Bryce Mitchell is landing 1.78 per min while Charles Rosa is landing 3.79 significant strikes per minute. Mitchell connects on 50% of the significant strikes he tries while Rosa is connecting on 36%. In terms of defending themselves, "Thug Nasty" takes 1.81 significant strikes per minute and "Boston Strong" takes 4.22. Mitchell also defends against 59% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way while Rosa is able to defend against 50% of the strikes thrown his way.

When it comes to wrestling, Bryce Mitchell is the not as competent as a wrestler as he takes his opponents down 1.75 times per 15 min. Mitchell is scoring a takedown on 28% of his attempts and is stuffing 33% of all takedown attempts. Rosa is scoring a takedown on 34% of the takedowns he tries and defending 47% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. In terms of subbing the opposition, Mitchell is the more capable fighter by attempting 1.8 submissions per 3 rounds while Rosa looks to get 1.2 submissions per 15 min.

The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Bryce Mitchell faced Matt Sayles and wound up getting the win by submission in round 1. Sayles landed 6 of 9 total strikes that he let go in that contest. Mitchell finished this fight landing 24 of 28 total strikes. When it comes to significant strikes, Sayles ended up landing 2 of 4, which gave him a percentage of 50%. He ended up landing 2 of 3 significant strikes directed at the head. On the other side of the Octagon, Mitchell ended up landing 85% of his significant strikes by connecting on 6 of 7. Looking at the significant strike accuracy, he was 5 of 6 aimed at the head. 10% of the significant strikes landed by Sayles and 16% of them landed by Mitchell were done at distance.

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In the last bout for Charles Rosa, he fought Manny Bermudez and ended up winning this fight by way of an armbar from bottom guard in round 1. Bermudez connected on 3% of his significant strikes at distance and Rosa landed 100% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Rosa connected on 75% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 6 of 8. He ended up connecting on 1 of 3 significant strikes directed at the head. Bermudez ended up landing 27 of 38 significant strikes in that contest. Of all the significant strikes, he ended up connecting on 25 of 36 to the head. Regarding total strikes that he threw in that fight, Bermudez connected on 37 of 49 and Rosa ended up connecting on 8 of 11 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights on the card to keep an eye on

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Ryan Spann squares up with Sam Alvey. Spann will be looking to add a win to his career total of 17-5-0. The 28-year-old steps on the scale at 205 lbs and measures 6'5". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 79". Alvey comes in at 6'2" and tips the scales at 205 lbs. The southpaw fighter walks into the cage holding a record of 33-13-0. The 33-year-old reaches 75". Regarding grappling, Ryan Spann is able to score a takedown 0.60 times per 15 minutes and Sam Alvey takes his opponents to the mat 0.09 times per 3 rds. When talking about striking, Spann is landing 3.26 strikes/min and connects on 43% out of all the strikes he attempts. On the other side of the cage you've got Sam Alvey, who lands 44% of his attempted strikes and lands an average of 3.05 per minute.

If you're into fun fights, you're going to want to see when Michelle Waterson is set to meet Carla Esparza. Esparza comes into this fight holding a mark of 16-6-0. The 32-year-old weighs in at 115 lbs and stands in at 5'1". The orthodox fighter reaches 63". Waterson measures in at 5'3" and weighs in at 115 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage holding a mark of 17-7-0. The 34-year-old extends her reach 62". In terms of grappling, Carla Esparza is stopping 48% of the takedowns her opponents try and is scoring a takedown on 36% of her tries. Waterson is taking her opponents down on 50% of the tries she takes and prevents 57% of all takedown tries against her. Concerning striking, Esparza takes 2.86 strikes/min while she is dealing 2.22 strikes per minute. Waterson, on the other hand, absorbs 3.88 strikes per minute and is dishing out 3.35 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Charles Rosa (+140)

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