Alexander Hernandez vs Omar Morales Predictions, Picks, UFC 249 Odds

by Tony Sink - 4/9/2020

THIS EVENT IS NOW CANCELLED DUE TO THE CORONAVIRUS

Alexander Hernandez vs Omar Morales

UFC 249

Tachi Palace Casino Resort in Lemoore, CA

Saturday, April 18, 2020

Alexander Hernandez will enter the Octagon with Omar Morales at UFC 249 at Tachi Palace Casino Resort in Lemoore, CA on Saturday, April 18, 2020. The opening line has Hernandez at -235 while Morales is coming in at +195.

Alexander "The Great" Hernandez looks to add a win to his total of 11-2-0. The 27-year-old tips the scales at 155 lbs and measures in at 5'9". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 72". Omar "Venezuelan Fighter" Morales measures in at 5'11" and is fighting at 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his record of 9-0-0. The 34-year-old extends his reach 73". Regarding significant strikes, Alexander Hernandez is landing 3.07 per min and Omar Morales is connecting on 3.60 significant strikes per min. Hernandez is connecting on 41% of the significant strikes he tries while Morales connects on 49%. When it comes to defending in the cage, "The Great" absorbs 3.25 significant strikes per min and "Venezuelan Fighter" absorbs 1.80. Hernandez also stops 50% of the significant strikes that are directed at him and Morales defends against 62% of the strikes thrown his way.

In terms of wrestling, Alexander Hernandez is the more efficient grappler as he takes his opponents down 1.52 times per 15 min. Hernandez is getting his opponent to the mat on 30% of the times he tries and is stuffing 57% of takedowns his opponents have attempted. Morales is finishing his takedown attempts on 95% of the takedowns he tries and stopping 90% of all takedowns attempted on him. In terms of going for the submission, Hernandez is the more experienced submission fighter by going for 0.7 subs per 3 rounds while Morales tries 0.5 subs per 3 rds.

In his previous bout, Alexander Hernandez faced Francisco Trinaldo and wound up getting the win via unanimous decision in round 3. Trinaldo ended up landing 28 of 55 total strikes attempted in that fight. Hernandez ended the night having landed 26 of 92 total strikes. In regard to significant strikes, Trinaldo ended up landing 25 of 52, which means his percentage was 48%. He landed 13 of 33 significant strikes directed at the head. Statistically, Hernandez landed 27% of his significant strikes by connecting on 25 of 91. Of all the significant strikes, he was 9 of 53 to the head. 96% of the significant strikes connected on by Trinaldo and 98% of them connected on by Hernandez were done at distance.

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In the last bout for Omar Morales, he fought Dong Hyun Ma and wound up taking home the victory by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Ma ended up connecting on 97% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance and Morales ended up connecting on 62% of the significant strikes he attempted at distance. Morales connected on 35% of the significant strikes he attempted by landing 32 of 89. He landed 22 of 78 significant strikes to the head. Ma connected on 15 of 56 significant strikes in that contest. Of all the significant strikes, he landed 6 of 43 to the head. In relation to total strikes that he let go, Ma landed 21 of 63 while Morales was 60 of 123 of the strikes he threw in total.

Other bouts on the card to keep an eye on

Another fight to keep an eye on is when Marlon Vera faces off against Ray Borg. Vera comes into this bout holding a record of 15-5-1. The 27-year-old weighs in at 135 lbs and stands 5'8". The switch fighter extends his reach 70". Borg measures 5'4" and records a weight of 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a mark of 13-4-0. The 26-year-old stretches 63". In the grappling category, Marlon Vera is able to score a takedown 0.76 times per 3 rounds while Ray Borg scores a takedown 4.26 times per 3 rounds. In terms of striking, Vera lands an average of 3.43 strikes/min and lands 47% of his attempted strikes. The other guy in this fight is Ray Borg, who tags his opponent on 52% of the strikes he has tried and connects on 1.36 per min.

An additional fight that you're going to want to see is when Khama Worthy is set to battle Michael Johnson. Johnson walks into the Octagon with a mark of 20-15-0. The 33-year-old records a weight of 155 lbs and measures in at 5'10". The southpaw fighter extends his reach 73". Worthy measures 5'11" and weighs 155 lbs. The orthodox fighter walks into the cage holding a record of 15-6-0. The 33-year-old extends his reach 74". Concerning wrestling, Michael Johnson is thwarting 78% of the takedowns fighters have gone for and is scoring a takedown on 45% of his tries. Worthy is taking his opponents down on 10% of the tries he takes and thwarts 10% of the takedowns his opponents try. With regard to striking, Johnson takes 3.92 strikes/min and he deals 4.22 strikes per minute. Worthy, notwithstanding, takes 3.53 strikes/minute and is landing 4.94 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Alexander Hernandez (-235)

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