Alexander Hernandez vs Drew Dober Predictions, Picks, UFC Fight Night 173 Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 5/6/2020

Alexander Hernandez vs Drew Dober

UFC Fight Night 173

VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena

Wednesday, May 13, 2020

Alexander Hernandez will enter the Octagon with Drew Dober at UFC Fight Night 173 at VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena on Wednesday, May 13, 2020. The odds have Hernandez priced at -320 while Dober is at +260.

Alexander "The Great" Hernandez steps into the cage holding a record of 11-2-0. The 27-year-old tips the scales at 155 lbs and measures in at 5'9". The orthodox fighter extends his reach 72". Drew Dober measures in at 5'8" and will fight at 155 lbs. The southpaw fighter comes into this fight with a mark of 22-9-0. The 31-year-old has a wingspan of 70". In the category of significant strikes, Alexander Hernandez connects on 3.07 per minute while Drew Dober is landing 4.51 significant strikes per min. Hernandez lands 41% of the significant strikes he attempts and Dober connects on 40%. When it comes to the fighter's defense, "The Great" allows 3.25 significant strikes per min while Dober allows 4.16. Hernandez also curbs 50% of the significant strikes his opponents throw his way while Dober is able to curb 53% of the strikes thrown in his direction.

When it comes to wrestling, Alexander Hernandez is the more apt wrestler as he gets a takedown 1.52 times per 15 min. Hernandez is scoring a takedown on 30% of the times he tries and is defending 57% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. Dober is taking his opponents to the canvas on 17% of his takedown tries and stopping 62% of all takedowns attempted by his opposition. In terms of going for the sub, Hernandez is less likely to go for the finish by attempting 0.4 subs per 3 rounds while Dober tries 0.7 subs per 15 min.

The last time he stepped into the Octagon, Alexander Hernandez fought Francisco Trinaldo and ended up getting the victory by way of unanimous decision in round 3. Trinaldo landed 28 of 55 of the strikes he threw in total in this fight. Hernandez ended the night having landed 26 of 92 total strikes. Concerning significant strikes, Trinaldo ended up landing 25 of 52, which means his percentage was 48%. He landed 13 of 33 significant strikes to the head. On the other side of the cage, Hernandez ended up landing 27% of his significant strikes by sticking 25 of 91. In terms of accuracy for the significant strikes, he connected on 9 of 53 aimed at the head. 96% of the significant strikes connected on by Trinaldo and 100% of them connected on by Hernandez were tallied at distance.

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In the last bout for Drew Dober, he went up against Nasrat Haqparast and wound up taking home the win via a punch to the head in round 1. Haqparast landed 100% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Dober ended up landing 15% of the significant strikes he tried at a distance. Dober connected on 50% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 13 of 26. He connected on 12 of 24 significant strikes aimed at the head. Haqparast ended up connecting on 7 of 11 significant strikes in that contest. Out of all the significant strikes thrown, he connected on 3 of 7 aimed at the head. In terms of the strikes he fired off in this contest, Haqparast landed 7 of 11 while Dober was 13 of 26 of all the strikes he attempted.

Other fights on the card to watch

An additional bout that shouldn't be missed is when Ricky Simon enters the Octagon with Ray Borg. Simon walks into the Octagon with a mark of 15-3-0. The 27-year-old will fight at 135 lbs and measures in at 5'6". The orthodox fighter stretches 69". Borg comes in at 5'4" and weighs in at 135 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this fight with a record of 13-4-0. The 26-year-old has an arm span of 63". In terms of takedowns, Ricky Simon gets a takedown 6.53 times per 15 min and Ray Borg takes his opponents down 4.26 times per 15 minutes. Regarding striking, Simon is landing 2.96 strikes per min and lands 40% of his attempted strikes. Joining him in the Octagon is Ray Borg, who connects on 52% of his attempted strikes and connects for an average of 1.36 per minute.

If you're going to be watching the fights, don't miss when Marvin Vettori is set to square up with Karl Roberson. Roberson looks to add a win to his total of 9-2-0. The 29-year-old records a weight of 185 lbs and measures 6'1". The southpaw fighter has a reach of 74". Vettori stands 6'0" and steps on the scale at 185 lbs. The southpaw fighter has a mark of 14-4-1. The 26-year-old stretches 74". When it comes to takedowns, Karl Roberson deflects 53% of his opponents' takedown attempts and is finishing his takedown attempts on 57% of his tries. Vettori is taking his opponents to the mat on 45% of the attempts he tries and is able to prevent 80% of all takedown attempts. With regard to striking, Roberson takes 1.80 strikes per minute while he is dishing out 3.16 strikes/min. Vettori, on the other side, is taking 2.85 strikes/minute and connects on 4.05 per min.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Josh's Pick: Take Alexander Hernandez (-320)

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