Aleksei Oleinik vs Fabricio Werdum Predictions, Picks, UFC 249 Odds

by Tony Sink - 5/4/2020

Aleksei Oleinik vs Fabricio Werdum

UFC 249

VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena

Saturday, May 9, 2020

Aleksei Oleinik will enter the Octagon against Fabricio Werdum at UFC 249 at VyStar Veterans Memorial Arena on Saturday, May 9, 2020. The line has Oleinik coming in at +255 while Werdum is priced at -310.

Aleksei "The Boa Constrictor" Oleinik comes into this fight with a record of 58-13-1. The 42-year-old is fighting at 240 lbs and stands in at 6'2". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 80". Fabricio "Vai Cavalo" Werdum stands 6'4" and weighs 231 lbs. The orthodox fighter looks to add a victory to his career total of 23-8-1. The 42-year-old stretches 77". Concerning significant strikes, Aleksei Oleinik connects on 3.08 per minute and Fabricio Werdum connects on 3.61 significant strikes per minute. Oleinik is connecting on 50% of the significant strikes he tries and Werdum connects on 51%. When it comes to defending in the cage, "The Boa Constrictor" allows 3.25 significant strikes per min while "Vai Cavalo" absorbs 2.45. Oleinik also stops 49% of the significant strikes his opponents attempt and Werdum deflects 56% of them.

Regarding wrestling, Aleksei Oleinik is the more competent grappler as he takes his opponents to the canvas 3.01 times per 15 minutes. Oleinik is getting his opponent to the mat on 46% of the times he tries and is stuffing 20% of the takedowns his opponents attempt. Werdum is taking his opponents down on 30% of his takedown attempts and stuffing 31% of all takedowns attempted on him. When it comes to submission attempts, Oleinik is the more apt fighter by attempting 2.8 finishes per 15 min while Werdum attempts 1.1 finishes per 15 min.

In his last appearance in the Octagon, Aleksei Oleinik squared up with Maurice Greene and wound up getting the victory via an armbar from the mount position in round 2. Greene landed 38 of 54 total strikes attempted in that contest. Oleinik walked away from this fight having landed 25 of 46 total strikes. In terms of significant strikes, Greene landed 13 of 29, which means his percentage was 44%. He finished the fight landing 10 of 25 significant strikes directed at the head. In terms of stats for the opponent, Oleinik ended up landing 31% of the significant strikes he threw by landing 7 of 22. Out of those significant strikes, he connected on 4 of 19 pointed at the head. 76% of the significant strikes landed by Greene and 57% of them landed by Oleinik were tallied at distance.

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In the last bout for Fabricio Werdum, he battled Alexander Volkov and ended up losing the fight by way of a punch to the head in round 4. Volkov connected on 66% of the significant strikes he took from distance while Werdum landed 45% of the significant strikes he attempted from distance. Werdum landed 54% of the significant strikes he attempted by connecting on 48 of 88. He landed 30 of 66 significant strikes to the head. Volkov connected on 48 of 90 significant strikes in that fight. In regard to the placement of these significant strikes, he connected on 37 of 75 aimed at the head. Relating to total strikes attempted in that contest, Volkov ended up connecting on 96 of 144 while Werdum connected on 83 of 130 total strikes.

Other bouts on the card to watch

One more match to look forward to is when Uriah Hall faces off with Ronaldo Souza. Hall holds a record of 16-9-0. The 35-year-old records a weight of 185 lbs and comes in at 6'0". The orthodox fighter has a wingspan of 79". Souza measures in at 6'1" and is fighting at 185 lbs. The orthodox fighter has a career record of 26-8-0. The 40-year-old extends his reach 72". When it comes to grappling, Uriah Hall is averaging a takedown 0.75 times per 3 rounds and Ronaldo Souza is averaging a takedown 2.46 times per 15 min. When it comes to striking, Hall is landing 3.31 strikes per min and lands 50% of the strikes that he throws. On the other side of the cage you've got Ronaldo Souza, who is connecting on 46% of the strikes he has attempted and is landing 2.54 per min.

Another must see fight on the night is when Niko Price is set to clash with Vicente Luque. Luque steps into the Octagon holding a record of 17-7-1. The 28-year-old is fighting at 170 lbs and stands 5'11". The orthodox fighter stretches 75". Price measures 6'0" and is weighing in at 170 lbs. The orthodox fighter comes into this bout holding a record of 14-3-0. The 30-year-old extends his reach 76". Concerning wrestling, Vicente Luque is preventing 64% of the takedowns fighters have tried and is finishing his takedown attempts on 50% of his tries. Price is taking his opponents to the mat on 23% of the attempts he tries and is able to prevent 61% of all takedown tries against him. In the category of striking, Luque absorbs 5.34 strikes per min and he lands 5.18 per minute. Price, notwithstanding, is absorbing 4.46 strikes per minute and deals 3.06 per minute.

Who will win tonight's UFC match against the spread?

Tony's Pick: Take Aleksei Oleinik (+255)

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Aleksei Oleinik vs Fabricio Werdum Predictions, Picks, UFC 249 Odds

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