Jeremy Chardy vs Andreas Seppi ATP Parlay - 6/11/2019

Jeremy Chardy vs Andreas Seppi

4am EST, 11th June 2019

Hertogenbosch, Netherlands

Grass courts

Intro

Even though Chardy won 7 doubles titles in his career already, reaching the finals at Roland Garros still has to be one of his best results. Partnering fellow countryman Fabrice Martin, they've fallen to German sensation Mies & Krawietz. A team that not that long ago played mostly on challenger level is now holding a real Grand Slam title in their hands. Now back to the stuff relevant to this match in Hertogenbosch. I mentioned this Chardy's achievement because it made him stay in Paris until Sunday, most likely. Because of that, he had a very small window to travel to the Netherlands and get some practice in on grass courts before facing Andreas Seppi on Tuesday. It is definitely not his first time playing on this surface, as he's an experienced player. But the difference between playing conditions on clay and grass are night and day and I believe every practice session counts in this type of situation. Chardy has some added pressure to defend the points from his final appearance last year here. The difference from a year ago was that he got eliminated from French open rather quickly and had an opportunity to play at Surbiton challenger and use it as great preparation for Hertogenbosch. This time around, he doesn't have that privilege.

Speaking of his opponent Andreas Seppi, he is not in a very good place right now. He wasn't able to end the losing streak in Paris, which is now at 10. We are talking about an incredibly strange drop, after being a runner-up in Sydney to start the season. He should benefit mightily from this transition from one surface to another. Not only that he needs some drastic change in order to break this nasty losing streak. He is actually a very solid grass court player, where he has the highest win percentage (57%) out of all three surfaces. You can add a title from 2011 Eastbourne to that resume and two finals (Eastbourne, Halle).

Matchup

On the other side, Chardy can't really brag about his record on this surface which is being negative at the moment (28-29). Some might think that he is very dangerous in faster conditions, considering he is working with "heavy machinery". But eyes are playing tricks on you in this case. He does have a big serve and forehand, but as much as it seems that helps him, it goes the other way as well. He is taking a big swing with his forehand, so he needs more time to prepare for it and can be late at times if you are able to send some pace that way and rush him. He is also a tall guy which will struggle with moving on this surface and dealing with all the low bouncing shots.

And that is something Seppi is able to do really well. Flatten out his groundstrokes from both wings, keep his shots during rallies with less net clearance and make Chardy uncomfortable by doing that. They played 3 times against each other. All of them being played in Australia and Andreas edging out Jeremy with 2-1 in that H2H

Betting odds & prediction

Chardy opened as -150 favorite and the line didn't budge since then. I am guessing that it's going to move his way by game-time. The public will look at this one and see someone that is defending the finals from last year, his opponent with a 10-match losing streak and call it a lock. I will patiently wait for that to happen. Usually, I'd take the + games with the underdog on grass, because every point counts on this surface, with a lot of tie-breaks being played. But in this situation, there is no logic in doing so. Either Seppi is waking up, taking advantage of this situation and ending the losing streak, or he is prolonging the crisis and getting swept off the court here. There is no much chance for anything in between.

Josh's Pick: Andreas Seppi +131

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