David Goffin vs Adrian Mannarino Tennis Betting Tips - 6/14/2019

David Goffin vs Adrian Mannarino

5:30 am EST, 14th June 2019

ATP Hertogenbosch, Netherlands

Grass courts

Another pretty clean performance by David Goffin who cruised through his first round match vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina, conceding only 2 games against the young Spaniard. This time, he was unable to get the job done in under 50 minutes, but he still won in straight sets, showing very few signs of weakness in the process. Actually, at the beginning of the second set, Herbert broke his serve, after being nowhere near throughout the entire first set. Goffin managed to quickly regroup himself and deal with adversity extremely well. He broke back immediately and did it once again in the 11th game of the second set to seal the deal and proceed into the quarterfinals. Returning on a high level throughout the match was the key to this victory. Herbert is known for his serve, from which he usually gets a lot of free points whether using a 1-2 punch or some kind of serve & volley combination. Goffin denied him those points in this match, winning a hefty 41% on the returning points and breaking opponents serve 3 times. If he continues to play like this, he could be on the way of repeating that finals appearance from 2015, when he last played in Hertogenbosch.

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In the next rounds, he is facing Adrian Mannarino, who overcame dangerous Fernando Verdasco on Thursday, despite losing the first set in an ugly fashion: 1-6. After that he managed to gather himself a little bit. Fought off few break opportunities from Verdasco in the second set to level the match, and then win it after the rollercoaster in the third. At times, this match was not fun to watch. Mannarino surrendered 42% of the points behind his serve and had to defend break opportunities 12 times in the match. Playing those key points well was deciding factor of the match. He was able to fight off Verdasco when threatening to break and the Spaniard was not, having 0/4 breaks saved.

Matchup

What I most like about Goffin's game at the moment is his confidence. It's so obvious when you watch him strike the ball. There is absolutely no hesitation with any of his shots. He trusts his timing without exception and that makes his game very quick and fluid, which is very important for grass courts. Surface in Hertogenbosch doesn't seem to be lightning quick, so there is no fear he might get bullied by the pace of Mannarino, even if he would possess it. And the way he moves and hits the ball at the moment, I feel like he has an edge in the baseline exchanges.

These two guys met 4 times already during their careers. This matchup was completely dominated by Goffin thus far, winning all 4. Although they never played on grass, it is still a decent indicator on how they match up stylistically. Mannarino is someone that doesn't have tons of power. He likes to defend and counter-punch. Use his lefty stuff to his opponent's disadvantage. Open the court by going for angles cross-court. Mix it up a little bit and suck the pace out of the point. All that stuff doesn't faze David much. He is very quick around the court and has enough flair in his hands to deal with all the different looks that Mannarino is throwing at him.

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Betting odds & prediction

Goffin opening north of -200 makes a lot of sense. He is the better player here, is in solid form at the moment and the betting public will more likely than not side with him in this matchup. With most of the money being with the favorite, I doubt that there will be much value still available once the limits fully open. I am lookin at the total in this one. 22.5 is not very high for grass courts, but with serves not being a massive factor in this match and one of the players being a clear favorite, under might be the right play.

Guy's Pick: under 22.5 games (-118)

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