Valencia vs Sevilla Prediction, 4/11/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Tony Sink - 4/9/2025

Game: Valencia vs Sevilla

Date: Friday, April 11, 2025

Location: Estadio de Mestalla in Valencia, Spain

TV: Fubo

The Palanganas (9-9-12) are on their way to Estadio de Mestalla in Valencia, Spain on Friday where they will play Valencia (8-10-12). Valencia are priced at +172 while the Palanganas are at -210. The total comes in at 3. The starting goalies will be Giorgi Mamardashvili for Valencia and Alvaro Fernandez for Sevilla.

soccer picks Hugo Duro Valencia predictions best bet odds

Valencia CF has allowed 47 goals while giving up 1.57 goals per 90 min, and opposing teams have a total of 117 SoT against them. They have amassed 6 clean sheets, giving them a % of 20.0% on the season. Valencia has tallied 67 yellow cards for the season as well as 1 red card. The Ches rank 71st in relation to expected goals with 32.9, and their xGA are 44.3. On the season, this team is sitting with an average of 1.13 points per fixture (34 points) and also are 64th in European soccer with 23 assists. Their differential on goals is at -13 by way of 34 goals tallied and also 47 goals relinquished. Valencia has earned 70 SVs and they have a save percentage of 59.8% this season.

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This season, Sevilla FC has a save percentage of 64.0% (114 shots on target against), and they also rank 60th in Big 5 soccer with 36 points. The Palanganas are sitting with an average of 1.2 pts/match while accounting for 26 assists and 5 red cards. Sevilla has recorded 34 goals and their xG this year is at 30.9. Sevilla FC has accounted for a clean sheet percentage of 30.0% on the campaign and 79 yellow cards. This club's goals against per 90 is 1.37 in addition to 73 saves, and they are sitting with 9 shut outs. Sevilla is 51st in goals against with 41, and the difference in goals is sitting at -7.

The man who is expected to protect the net for Valencia will be Giorgi Mamardashvili. Mamardashvili has seen the pitch for a total of 10,664 minutes and has accumulated 327 stops in his career. Mamardashvili (37-34-48 mark during his soccer career) has 34 clean sheets, which has him sitting with a 28.7%% clean sheet rate. The goalie born in Georgia has had 473 shots sent in his direction in 119 starting assignments. His goals allowed per 90 minutes is 1.24 (147 goals allowed) and he is the owner of a save % of 69.1%.

Alvaro Fernandez will reside in front of the goal for Sevilla. In his pro soccer career, Fernandez has conceded 86 goals while earning 162 stops in 52 starts. Fernandez has recorded 11 shutouts while defending 244 shots tried against him in 4,752 minutes throughout his career. He is the owner of a save % of 66.4% and his clean sheet rate sits at 20.8%%. He has surrendered 1.63 goals per 90 mins while holding a mark of 13-12-27.

Hugo Duro is one footballer who can make an impact for Valencia. Duro has been given a starting assignment in 108 outings so far in his pro soccer career and he accounts for 0.31 goals per 90 mins. The forward representing Spain has earned 34 goals scored in 9,935 professional minutes. He has 8 assists while tallying 76 pts in his career.

Sevilla features Dodi Lukebakio, who has been known to frustrate defenses. He has collected 156 pts during his career and has assisted on a goal 30 times. The forward hailing from Belgium has played 16,019 mins and has scored 63 goals. He currently averages 0.35 goals per 90 minutes and has had a starting assignment in 173 contests thus far in his career.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Sevilla (+172)

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Pick:	OVER 1.5 (-150)
Start:	April 18, 2025 @ 3:00 PM
Expert:	Doc's Sports

Analysis:

Comp Soccer pick from Doc’s Sports for Friday: (8-Unit NHL Best Bet Below) Spanish LaLiga Take Espanyol/Getafe OVER 1.5 (-150) (3 p.m. EST, Friday April 19) These teams aren’t great offensively, but both have been in their best offensive form of the season recently. Espanyol have scored in 12 straight matches. They have six goals in their last two matches, and both of those were on the road. They will be missing their top scorer here because of suspension, but we think his teammates will step up. And with the way they have been performing, it’s not out of the realm of possibility that the home side covers this line by themselves. Getafe have scored in five straight matches. They have 10 goals in their last five matches. So there’s a great chance they will get their share of this low total here on Friday. These sides have played in low scoring matches the last few meetings, but with their current form, combined with this low total, we will lay the juice for the offenses to stay hot here at RCDE Stadium. Read More Read Less

Valencia vs Sevilla Prediction, 4/11/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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