Napoli vs Fiorentina Prediction, 3/9/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 3/5/2025

Game: Napoli vs Fiorentina

Date: Sunday, March 9, 2025

Location: Stadio Diego Armando Maradona in Naples, Italy

TV: Paramount+

The Purples (13-6-8) are traveling to Stadio Diego Armando Maradona in Naples, Italy on Sunday where they will try to defeat Napoli (17-6-4). The Blues are priced at -130 and Fiorentina are at +110. The over/under comes in at 3. The goalies expected to start will be Alex Meret for Napoli and David de Gea for Fiorentina.

soccer picks Alex Meret Napoli predictions best bet odds

Napoli has earned 52 saves and also are the owners of a save% of 70.3% on the campaign. This team's goal differential is currently at 21 by means of 43 goals put in the net in addition to 22 goals conceded. For the year, the squad holds an average of 2.11 pts/match (57 pts) and also rank 35th in European soccer with 29 assists. The Blues are ranked 39th in relation to expected goals having 36.6, and the squad's expected goals against are coming in at 20.5. Napoli is sitting with 33 yellow cards for the year. S.S.C. Napoli has conceded 22 goals while conceding 0.81 goals per 90 minutes, and opponents have a total of 74 shots on target on them. They have recorded 12 clean sheets, which has them at a % of 44.4% over the course of the season.

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For the year, ACF Fiorentina has a save percentage of 73.3% (105 SoT against), and they also sit at 21st in European soccer with 45 pts. The Purples have put together an average of 1.7 points per fixture while compiling 27 assists and 2 red cards. Fiorentina has totaled 42 goals and this squad's expected goals so far this year is currently at 34.9. ACF Fiorentina has earned a CS% of 33.3% this year and also 58 yellow card cautions. Their goals against/90 minutes is 1.04 in addition to 76 saves, and they have 9 clean sheets. Fiorentina is ranked 19th in goals against having 28, and their goal differential is coming in at 14.

The man who will protect the net for Napoli will be Alex Meret. Meret has seen the field for 14,797 mins and has accumulated 383 saves thus far in his career. The keeper hailing from Italy has seen 563 shots tried against him in 165 starts. His goals allowed per 90 mins is 1.08 (178 total goals allowed) and he has a save percentage of 68.0%. Meret (88-43-34 mark in his professional soccer career) has tallied 50 clean sheets, which has him sitting with a 30.4%% clean sheet percentage.

David de Gea will be residing in front of the goal for Fiorentina. In his pro soccer career, Gea has conceded 552 goals and has 1,410 stops in 496 starting assignments. Gea has racked up 170 shutouts while seeing 1,955 shots tried against him in 44,578 mins throughout his career. He has a save percentage of 72.1% and his clean sheet rate is currently at 34.3%%. He has given up 1.11 goals per 90 minutes and he has earned a record of 263-112-121.

Philip Billing is one guy who can make a noticable difference for Napoli. The midfielder from Denmark has totaled 37 goals scored in 18,934 professional minutes played. Billing has been a starter in 211 matches during his career and he accounts for 0.18 goals per 90 mins. He has accounted for 21 assists while earning 95 points in his career.

Fiorentina stars Moise Kean, who has been known to frustrate defenses. He has collected 103 points in his career and has assisted on a goal 7 times. The forward hailing from Italy has been on the pitch for 9,066 minutes and has scored 48 goals. He scores 0.42 goals per 90 and has started 97 games during his pro soccer career.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Napoli (+110)

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Napoli vs Fiorentina Prediction, 3/9/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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