Fiorentina vs Genoa Prediction, 2/2/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 1/29/2025

Game: Fiorentina vs Genoa

Date: Sunday, February 2, 2025

Location: Stadio Artemio Franchi in Florence, Italy

TV: Paramount+

The Griffin (6-8-8) are traveling to Stadio Artemio Franchi in Florence, Italy on Sunday where they will play Fiorentina (10-6-5). Fiorentina are priced at -128 and Genoa are at +106. The over/under comes in at 3. The goalies protecting the net are David de Gea for Fiorentina and Nicola Leali for Genoa.

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The Purples rank 40th in regard to goals expected with 29.0, and the squad's xGA are 20.8. ACF Fiorentina has conceded 22 goals while conceding 1.05 G/90, and opponents have amassed 82 shots on target against them. The team's differential on goals is currently at 13 by 35 goals earned as well as 22 goals conceded. They are sitting with 7 clean sheets, which has them sitting at a percentage of 33.3% this season. Fiorentina has recorded 58 saves and have earned a save rate of 73.2% on the year. Fiorentina has a total of 42 yellow card warnings so far this year as well as 2 red cards. So far this season, the squad sports an average of 1.71 pts per fixture (36 points) and also are ranked 37th in Big 5 soccer with 22 assists.

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The Griffin have put together an average of 1.2 pts per match while accumulating 13 assists. Genoa C.F.C. has compiled a shut out percentage of 36.4% on the season and 45 yellow cards. Genoa has a ranking of 51st in relation to goals allowed having 30, and their difference in goals sits at -10. So far this year, Genoa C.F.C. has a save percentage of 68.1% (94 SoT against), and have a rank of 56th in Big 5 soccer with 26 pts. Their goals against per 90 min is currently at 1.36 in addition to 63 saves, and they have tallied 8 clean sheets. Genoa has amassed 20 goals and this team's expected goals this year is currently at 23.3.

The guy who will defend the goal for Fiorentina is David de Gea. Gea has been on the pitch for 44,038 mins and has earned 1,392 stops during his soccer career. His goals allowed per 90 mins is 1.12 (546 total goals given up) and he holds a save percentage of 72.0%. The goalie hailing from Spain has seen 1,932 shots sent in his direction in 490 starting assignments. Gea (260-112-118 mark in his professional soccer career) has accounted for 168 clean sheets, which leaves him with a 34.3%% shutout rate.

Nicola Leali is expected to look after the goal for Genoa. During his professional soccer career, Leali has surrendered 126 goals and has 263 stops in 79 starts. He has given up 1.61 goals per 90 mins while he holds a record of 18-21-40. He has a save % of 67.6% and his shutout rate is 23.0%%. Leali has tallied 18 shutouts while seeing 389 shots attempted against him in 7,046 career mins.

Moise Kean is one man who can be a force for Fiorentina. Kean has been a starter in 97 matches during his career and he tallies 0.43 goals per 90 mins. The forward representing Italy has totaled 48 goals scored in 9,063 minutes played. He has accounted for 7 assists while earning 103 pts in his career.

Genoa stars Andrea Pinamonti, who is known to give defenses fits. He has accounted for 94 pts in his career and has assisted on a goal 8 times. The forward from Italy has been on the field for 12,645 mins and has earned 43 goals. He currently averages 0.29 G/90 and has been given a starting assignment in 142 games in his career.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Fiorentina (+106)

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Fiorentina vs Genoa Prediction, 2/2/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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