Borussia Dortmund vs FSV Mainz 05 Prediction, 3/30/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 3/25/2025

Game: Borussia Dortmund vs FSV Mainz 05

Date: Sunday, March 30, 2025

Location: Signal Iduna Park in Dortmund, Germany

TV: ESPN+

The O-Fives (13-6-7) are traveling to Signal Iduna Park in Dortmund, Germany on Sunday where they will take on Borussia Dortmund (10-5-11). Borussia Dortmund are priced at -275 and the O-Fives are at +220. The over/under is set at 3. The starting goalies are Gregor Kobel for Borussia Dortmund and Robin Zentner for FSV Mainz 05.

soccer picks Gregor Kobel Borussia Dortmund predictions best bet odds

BVB has relinquished 41 goals while conceding 1.58 goals per 90, and opponents have tallied 105 shots on target on them. They have 5 clean sheets, which gives them a % of 19.2% for the year. Borussia Dortmund has earned 62 yellow cards on the year in addition to 6 red cards. The Black and Yellow rank 30th in relation to expected goals having 43.4, and their expected goals against are coming in at 31.7. On the year, the squad averages 1.35 pts per contest (35 points) and also have a ranking of 26th in Big 5 soccer with 32 assists. This team's differential on goals is 4 by 45 goals accumulated and also 41 goals relinquished. Dortmund has tallied 64 SVs and they have earned a save% of 61.0% this season.

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On the year, Mainz has a save % of 74.8% (111 shots on target against), and they also have a ranking of 31st among Big 5 teams with 45 points. The O-Fives hold an average of 1.7 points per match while accounting for 30 assists and 4 red cards. Mainz has compiled 44 goals and the team's goals expected this season is currently at 37.0. Mainz 05 has accumulated a clean sheet % of 34.6% on the season and also 59 yellow cards. Their goals against per 90 is currently at 1.08 with 82 saves, and they have accumulated 9 shutouts. Mainz 05 has a ranking of 16th for goals surrendered having 28, and the team's difference in goals sits at 16.

The man who is expected to protect the net for Dortmund is Gregor Kobel. Kobel has seen the pitch for a total of 13,969 mins and has earned 461 stops so far in his pro soccer career. His goals against per 90 mins is 1.54 (239 goals allowed) and his save % is 66.0%. The goalkeeper from Switzerland has seen 698 shots attempted against him in 157 starts. Kobel (78-30-49 record in his career) has 38 shutouts, which gives him a 24.5%% shutout rate.

Robin Zentner will be looking after the goal for Mainz 05. In his career, Zentner has surrendered 284 goals and has earned 561 saves in 192 starting assignments. Zentner has accumulated 45 shutouts while seeing 844 shots against him in 17,235 career mins. He holds a save % of 66.5% and his clean sheet rate sits at 23.5%%. He has surrendered 1.48 goals per 90 while earning a mark of 65-52-75.

Serhou Guirassy is one player who can help decide the match for Dortmund. Guirassy has been a starter in 175 games in his career while he scores 0.55 goals per 90 minutes. The forward born in Guinea has accumulated 106 goals in 16,394 professional minutes played. He has totaled 17 assists while tallying 229 points thus far in his career.

Mainz 05 features a difference maker in Jonathan Burkardt, who is known to give defenses fits. He has totaled 64 points in his pro soccer career and has assisted on a goal 10 times. The forward born in Germany has totaled 7,027 mins while scoring 27 goals. He has an average of 0.29 goals per 90 mins and has started 87 outings so far in his career.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Borussia Dortmund (+220)

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Borussia Dortmund vs FSV Mainz 05 Prediction, 3/30/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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