Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction, 3/1/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 2/28/2025

Game: Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao

Date: Saturday, March 1, 2025

Location: Mendizorrotza Stadium in Madrid, Spain

TV: ESPN+

Atletico Madrid (15-8-2) are welcoming Athletic Bilbao (13-9-3) at Mendizorrotza Stadium in Madrid, Spain on Saturday. Atletico Madrid are priced at -160 and the Lions are at +132. The over/under has been set at 3. The goalies protecting the net will be Jan Oblak for Atletico Madrid and Unai Simon for Athletic Bilbao.

soccer picks Jan Oblak Atletico Madrid predictions best bet odds

Atletico Madrid has a total of 60 saves and also hold a save rate of 78.4% on the season. Their difference in goals is currently at 26 by way of 42 goals earned and also 16 goals conceded. So far this season, this club holds an average of 2.12 pts per match (53 pts) and have a ranking of 15th in Big 5 soccer with 34 assists. The Red and Whites are ranked 22nd for xG having 40.7, and the team's expected goals against are at 22.8. Atletico Madrid has earned 59 yellow card warnings on the year and 2 red cards. Madrid has give up 16 goals while giving up 0.64 goals per 90, and opposing clubs have earned 74 SoT on them. They have earned 12 shut outs, which has them at a rate of 48.0% so far this year.

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Athletic Bilbao has accounted for 44 goals and this team's xG for the year is at 39.5. Their goals against per 90 is 0.88 in addition to 52 saves, and they are sitting with 7 shut outs. For the year, Athletic Club has a save percentage of 70.3% (74 shots on target against), and they also rank 13th among Big 5 teams with 48 points. Athletic Club has a rank of 6th in regard to goals surrendered having 22, and their goal difference is sitting at 22. Athletic Club has earned a shut out percentage of 28.0% this year in addition to 44 yellow cards. The Lions are averaging 1.9 pts/match while sitting with 34 assists and 3 red cards.

The man protecting the net for Atlético Madrid is Jan Oblak. Oblak has seen the pitch for a total of 32,027 mins and has accumulated 838 stops in his career. Oblak (215-83-59 mark during his career) has accumulated 170 shutouts, which has him sitting with a 47.8%% clean sheet percentage. The goalie from Slovenia has had 1,094 shots attempted against him in 357 career starting assignments. His goals against per 90 minutes is 0.75 (268 goals surrendered) and he has a save % of 76.6%.

Unai Simon will look after the goal for Athletic Club. During his pro soccer career, Simon has given up 190 goals while earning 427 saves in 187 starts. Simon has totaled 60 clean sheets and has defended 610 shots tried against him in 16,658 minutes in his career. He has earned a save percentage of 70.0% and his clean sheet rate is 32.4%%. He has given up 1.03 goals per 90 and he has a mark of 73-58-56.

Julian Alvarez is a player who can be a difference maker for Atlético Madrid. He has totaled 39 assists while earning 201 points during his career. The forward born in Argentina has 81 goals scored in 12,588 professional minutes played. Alvarez has started 135 outings so far in his career while he scores 0.55 goals per 90 mins.

Athletic Club features a game changer in Oihan Sancet, who has been known to frustrate defenses. He scores 0.25 goals per 90 mins and has started 109 games so far in his pro soccer career. The midfielder born in Spain has totaled 8,931 professional minutes while scoring 27 goals. He has accumulated 71 points thus far in his career and has helped on a goal 17 times.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Atletico Madrid (+132)

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Atletico Madrid vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction, 3/1/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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