Atlanta United FC vs New York City FC Prediction, 3/29/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Tony Sink - 3/28/2025

Game: Atlanta United FC vs New York City FC

Date: Saturday, March 29, 2025

Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, GA

TV: MLS Season Pass

Mercedes-Benz Stadium in Atlanta, GA is the site where NYCFC (2-2-1) will try to beat the 5 Stripes (1-2-2) on Saturday. The 5 Stripes are priced at -122 and NYCFC is at +102. The over/under is 3. The goalies who are expected to start are Brad Guzan for Atlanta and Matt Freese for New York City.

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The United are 13th when talking about goals expected having 6.7, and their xGA are sitting at 6.8. The United have surrendered 8 goals while relinquishing 1.60 goals per 90 min, and their opponents are sitting with 25 shots on target on them. The team's differential on goals is currently at -2 by means of 6 goals scored and 8 goals conceded. They have accumulated 1 clean sheet, which puts them at a % of 20.0% for the year. Atlanta United FC has amassed 17 saves and also have earned a SV percentage of 68.0% for the year. Atlanta has compiled 13 yellow cards so far this year. So far this season, this club has put together an average of 1.00 pts/match (5 pts) and they also are ranked 13th in MLS soccer with 4 assists.

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Over the course of the season, NYCFC has a save % of 76.2% (21 SoT against), and also have a ranking of 10th among MLS teams with 8 pts. The Pigeons average 1.6 points per contest while totaling 3 assists and 1 red card. New York City FC has totaled 6 goals and this squad's goals expected so far this year is 5.3. NYCFC has a shut out % of 20.0% over the course of the season in addition to 9 yellow card cautions. Their goals against/90 min is currently at 1.00 in addition to 17 saves, and they have 1 clean sheet. NYCFC has a ranking of 9th when talking about goals allowed with 5, and the team's goal differential is 1.

The man protecting the net for Atlanta will be Brad Guzan. Guzan has seen the pitch for a total of 25,283 mins and is sitting with 869 saves during his pro soccer career. His goals allowed per 90 mins is 1.29 (363 total goals conceded) and he has earned a save % of 70.4%. The goalkeeper born in the United States has had 1,235 shots attempted against him in 282 career starting assignments. Guzan (113-74-95 mark during his soccer career) has accounted for 84 clean sheets, which has him sitting with a 29.9%% shutout percentage.

Matt Freese will be looking after the goal for New York City. In his career, Freese has conceded 73 goals while earning 194 stops in 61 starts. He holds a save % of 72.9% and his clean sheet rate sits at 21.8%%. He has conceded 1.22 goals per 90 mins while holding a record of 24-20-17. Freese has recorded 13 shutouts while seeing 266 shots attempted against him in 5,364 minutes throughout his career.

Emmanuel Latte Lath is one guy who can make a noticable difference for Atlanta. He has 0 assists while tallying 8 pts during his career. The forward from Côte d'Ivoire has totaled 4 goals in 407 professional minutes played. Lath has been a starter in 5 matchups so far in his career and scores 0.80 G/90.

New York City features a game changer in Alonso Martinez, who opposing coaches will have to gameplan for in this fixture. He is currently averaging 0.91 goals per 90 minutes and has had a starting assignment in 23 matches in his pro soccer career. The forward who is from Costa Rica has been on the field for 1,861 mins while scoring 19 goals. He has totaled 41 pts thus far in his career and has assisted on a goal 3 times.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take New York City FC (-122)

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Atlanta United FC vs New York City FC Prediction, 3/29/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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