Athletic Bilbao vs Mallorca Prediction, 3/9/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 3/5/2025

Game: Athletic Bilbao vs Mallorca

Date: Sunday, March 9, 2025

Location: Iberostar Estadi in Girona, Spain

TV: ESPN+

Iberostar Estadi in Girona, Spain is the site where Mallorca (10-6-10) will compete against Athletic Bilbao (13-9-4) on Sunday. Athletic Bilbao are priced at -160 while the Pirates are at +132. The over/under is 3. The expected starting goaltenders will be Unai Simon for Athletic Bilbao and Dominik Greif for Mallorca.

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The Lions are 27th in relation to goals expected with 40.6, and their xGA sit at 24.5. Athletic Club has surrendered 23 goals while giving up 0.88 goals per 90 min, and opposing clubs have tallied 78 SoT against them. The team's goal differential is currently at 21 with the help of 44 goals compiled as well as 23 goals surrendered. They have earned 7 clean sheets, giving them a percentage of 26.9% this season. Athletic Bilbao has a total of 55 saves and also hold a save% of 70.5% over the course of the season. Athletic Bilbao has accumulated 47 yellow cards over the course of the season as well as 3 red cards. So far this year, the squad holds an average of 1.85 points per contest (48 points) and rank 16th among Big 5 teams with 34 assists.

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Mallorca has tallied 25 goals and the team's goals expected this season is 29.6. This team's goals against per 90 min is currently at 1.23 with 71 saves, and they have tallied 6 shutouts. Over the course of the season, the Pirates have a save rate of 68.9% (103 shots on target against), and also have a ranking of 44th among European teams with 36 pts. Mallorca is 30th in relation to goals surrendered having 32, and their goal differential is coming in at -7. The Pirates have compiled a shut out percentage of 23.1% for the season and 56 yellow card cautions. The Pirates hold an average of 1.4 points per match while compiling 16 assists and 6 red cards.

The man who will protect the net for Athletic Club is Unai Simon. Simon has seen the pitch for 16,748 mins and has 430 saves so far in his pro soccer career. The goalkeeper hailing from Spain has seen 614 shots sent in his direction in 188 starting assignments. His goals allowed per 90 minutes is 1.03 (191 goals surrendered) and he holds a save percentage of 70.0%. Simon (73-58-57 record during his career) has tallied 60 clean sheets, which leaves him with a 32.2%% clean sheet rate.

Dominik Greif will be residing in front of the net for Mallorca. So far in his career, Greif has surrendered 31 goals and has earned 65 saves in 24 starting assignments. He has surrendered 1.29 goals per 90 mins while holding a mark of 8-6-10. He is the owner of a save percentage of 67.7% and his clean sheet rate is currently 20.8%%. Greif has recorded 5 shutouts and has seen 96 shots against him in 2,160 career minutes.

Gorka Guruzeta is a guy who should impact this matchup for Athletic Club. Guruzeta has been given a starting assignment in 121 contests so far in his career while scoring 0.35 G/90. The forward hailing from Spain has 39 goals in 9,537 professional minutes. He has totaled 11 assists while earning 89 pts so far in his pro soccer career.

Mallorca features a game changer in Valery Fernandez, who can change the course of a fixture. He is currently averaging 0.17 goals per 90 minutes and has been in the starting lineup in 47 matches thus far in his career. The midfielder who is from Spain has played 5,235 minutes while earning 10 goals. He has accumulated 24 pts in his pro soccer career and has helped on a goal 4 times.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Athletic Bilbao (+132)

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Athletic Bilbao vs Mallorca Prediction, 3/9/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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