Atalanta vs Lecce Prediction, 4/25/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Tony Sink - 4/23/2025

Game: Atalanta vs Lecce

Date: Friday, April 25, 2025

Location: Gewiss Stadium in Bergamo, Italy

TV: Paramount+

Atalanta (19-7-7) are welcoming Lecce (6-8-19) at Gewiss Stadium in Bergamo, Italy on Friday. The Goddess are priced at -150 and the Yellow and Reds are at +125. The total comes in at 3. The starting goalkeepers will be Marco Carnesecchi for Atalanta and Wladimiro Falcone for Lecce.

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Atalanta B.C. has conceded 30 goals while surrendering 0.91 goals per 90 min, and the other team have 119 SoT against them. They have recorded 14 clean sheets, which puts them at a rate of 42.4% on the campaign. Atalanta has accumulated 62 yellow cards so far this season and also 1 red card. The Goddess sit at 15th when talking about xG with 54.7, and the squad's xGA are sitting at 31.9. So far this year, this team is averaging 1.94 pts/match (64 points) and they also sit at 10th among Big 5 teams with 45 assists. Their differential on goals is currently at 36 by way of 66 goals earned and 30 goals allowed. Atalanta has accounted for 91 SVs and also have a save rate of 74.8% so far this season.

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So far this season, U.S. Lecce has a save rate of 65.6% (160 SoTA), and are 84th in Big 5 soccer with 26 pts. The Yellow and Reds come in with an average of 0.8 pts per fixture while accounting for 18 assists and 5 red cards. Lecce has tallied 23 goals and this squad's expected goals for the season is sitting at 30.6. U.S. Lecce has earned a clean sheet % of 21.2% this year and also 54 yellow card warnings. Their goals against per 90 min is currently at 1.67 with 107 saves, and they are sitting with 7 clean sheets. Lecce ranks 82nd when it comes to goals surrendered having 55, and the goal differential is sitting at -32.

The man who is expected to defend the goal for Atalanta will be Marco Carnesecchi. Carnesecchi has played for 7,465 minutes and has earned 260 stops so far in his pro soccer career. The keeper born in Italy has seen 365 shots tried against him in 83 career starts. His goals allowed per 90 mins is 1.28 (106 total goals allowed) and he is the owner of a save % of 71.2%. Carnesecchi (35-20-28 record in his career) has accumulated 23 clean sheets, which has earned him a 27.7%% clean sheet rate.

Wladimiro Falcone will be residing in front of the goal for Lecce. Thus far in his career, Falcone has conceded 171 goals and has totaled 385 saves in 119 starting assignments. He has allowed 1.43 goals per 90 and he has a mark of 24-36-59. He has a save % of 69.9% and his clean sheet rate sits at 18.4%%. Falcone has tallied 22 clean sheets while he has seen 551 shots tried against him in 10,755 minutes throughout his career.

Mateo Retegui is a guy who has a chance to score for Atalanta. He has totaled 16 assists while earning 168 pts in his career. The forward born in Italy has racked up 76 goals scored in 12,369 professional minutes played. Retegui has started 143 matchups thus far in his career and he accounts for 0.55 goals per 90 minutes.

Lecce is being led by Santiago Pierotti, who is known to give defenses fits. He is averaging 0.15 goals per 90 mins and has been given a starting assignment in 67 games in his career. The forward hailing from Argentina has totaled 6,653 mins and he has scored 11 goals. He has 27 pts in his career and has helped on a goal 5 times.

Who will win tonight's soccer game ATS?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Lecce (-150)

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Atalanta vs Lecce Prediction, 4/25/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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