Atalanta vs Lazio Prediction, 4/6/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 4/1/2025

Game: Atalanta vs Lazio

Date: Sunday, April 6, 2025

Location: Gewiss Stadium in Bergamo, Italy

TV: Paramount+

Gewiss Stadium in Bergamo, Italy is the site where Lazio (15-6-8) will try to defeat Atalanta (17-7-6) on Sunday. The Goddess are priced at -210 and Lazio are at +172. The over/under is set at 3. The expected starting goalkeepers are Marco Carnesecchi for Atalanta and Ivan Provedel for Lazio.

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Atalanta B.C. has relinquished 29 goals while conceding 0.97 goals per 90, and the opposition have amassed 110 SoT against them. They have earned 12 shut outs, giving them a percentage of 40.0% this season. Atalanta has earned 56 yellow cards so far this season and 1 red card. The Goddess have a rank of 12th in xG having 51.3, and the expected goals against are at 30.1. For the year, the club sports an average of 1.93 points per fixture (58 pts) and they also have a ranking of 8th in Big 5 soccer with 42 assists. This team's goal differential is 34 because of 63 goals earned and also 29 goals conceded. Atalanta has tallied 83 saves and they also hold a save percentage of 73.6% this year.

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For the season, the White and Sky Blues have a save % of 55.4% (92 SoTA), and they also are ranked 18th among European teams with 51 pts. The White and Sky Blues are sitting with an average of 1.8 pts/match while having 35 assists and 4 red cards. Lazio has tallied 50 goals and this squad's expected goals on the season is currently at 44.4. The White and Sky Blues have amassed a shut out % of 20.7% for the year and 67 yellow card warnings. This club's goals against/90 minutes is 1.41 with 53 saves, and they have a total of 6 clean sheets. Lazio ranks 57th in regard to goals against with 41, and the squad's goal differential is sitting at 9.

The guy defending the goal for Atalanta is Marco Carnesecchi. Carnesecchi has played for a total of 7,285 minutes and has tallied 253 saves so far in his career. The goalkeeper hailing from Italy has seen 357 shots attempted against him in 81 starting assignments. His goals allowed per 90 minutes is 1.30 (105 goals allowed) and he holds a save % of 70.9%. Carnesecchi (34-20-27 record in his career) has tallied 22 clean sheets, which has earned him a 27.2%% clean sheet percentage.

Ivan Provedel will be residing in front of the goal for Lazio. In his career, Provedel has given up 247 goals and has earned 496 stops in 171 starting assignments. Provedel has racked up 46 clean sheets and has defended 737 shots attempted against him in 15,443 mins throughout his career. He has earned a save percentage of 67.3% and his clean sheet rate is currently at 26.8%%. He has surrendered 1.44 goals per 90 minutes and he has earned a mark of 67-38-66.

Mateo Retegui is a member of the side who can create chances for Atalanta. The forward born in Italy has recorded 75 goals in 12,216 minutes played. Retegui has had a starting assignment in 141 contests in his career while he scores 0.55 G/90. He has totaled 15 assists while tallying 165 points in his career.

Lazio has a playmaker in Valentin Castellanos, who is a thorn in the side of defenses. He currently averages 0.46 goals per 90 and has had a starting assignment in 181 matches during his pro soccer career. The forward from Argentina has been on the pitch for 16,053 mins while scoring 82 goals. He has 188 pts thus far in his career and has helped a teammate on a goal 24 times.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Atalanta (+172)

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Atalanta vs Lazio Prediction, 4/6/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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