AC Milan vs Atalanta Prediction, 4/20/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 4/16/2025

Game: AC Milan vs Atalanta

Date: Sunday, April 20, 2025

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza in Milan, Italy

TV: Paramount+

AC Milan (14-9-9) welcomes Atalanta (18-7-7) at Stadio Giuseppe Meazza in Milan, Italy on Sunday. AC Milan are priced at +220 while the Goddess are at -275. The over/under is 3. The goaltenders protecting the net will be Marco Sportiello for AC Milan and Marco Carnesecchi for Atalanta.

soccer picks Rafael Leao AC Milan predictions best bet odds

The Red and Blacks sit at 12th in the matter of xG with 56.0, and the squad's expected goals against sit at 35.7. The Red and Blacks have surrendered 37 goals while giving up 1.16 goals per 90, and opposing teams have amassed 122 shots on target on them. This team's difference in goals is currently at 14 by means of 51 goals scored in addition to 37 goals conceded. They have compiled 11 clean sheets, giving them a percentage of 34.4% on the year. AC Milan has accumulated 87 saves and also hold a save percentage of 69.7% this season. AC Milan has compiled 61 yellow cards on the season in addition to 5 red cards. On the season, the club has an average of 1.59 points per fixture (51 points) and also rank 27th among Big 5 teams with 36 assists.

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On the year, Atalanta B.C. has a save rate of 74.6% (118 shots on target against), and rank 11th among Big 5 teams with 61 points. The Goddess hold an average of 1.9 pts per fixture while compiling 44 assists and 1 red card. Atalanta has earned 65 goals and the squad's xG on the season is sitting at 52.8. Atalanta B.C. has earned a shut out % of 40.6% over the course of the season and also 61 yellow card warnings. Their goals against per 90 minutes is 0.94 with 90 saves, and they have earned 13 clean sheets. Atalanta sits at 9th concerning goals against having 30, and the team's goal differential is at 35.

The man who is expected to defend the goal for Milan will be Marco Sportiello. Sportiello has seen the field for 18,423 mins and has 583 saves during his soccer career. Sportiello (67-52-84 mark in his career) has earned 55 shutouts, which has him sitting with a 26.9%% shutout percentage. The goalkeeper from Italy has seen 869 shots tried at him in 203 starting assignments. His GA/90 is 1.40 (286 total goals allowed) and his save percentage is 67.1%.

Marco Carnesecchi will look after the goal for Atalanta. So far in his career, Carnesecchi has surrendered 106 goals while tallying 260 saves in 83 starts. He has a save % of 71.2% and his clean sheet rate sits at 27.7%%. He has allowed 1.28 goals per 90 minutes while earning a mark of 35-20-28. Carnesecchi has racked up 23 clean sheets and has defended 365 shots against him in 7,465 career minutes.

Tijjani Reijnders is a member of the team you are going to want to keep your eye on for Milan. Reijnders has had a starting assignment in 236 outings in his career while scoring 0.17 goals per 90 mins. The midfielder born in the Netherlands has recorded 41 goals in 21,570 professional minutes. He has totaled 27 assists while accumulating 109 pts in his career.

Atalanta features a game changer in Mateo Retegui, who has been known to frustrate defenses. He has tallied 168 pts in his career and has helped a teammate on a goal 16 times. The forward representing Italy has been on the pitch for 12,369 mins while scoring 76 goals. He averages 0.55 goals per 90 and has been a starter in 143 matches so far in his pro soccer career.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take AC Milan (-275)

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AC Milan vs Atalanta Prediction, 4/20/2025 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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