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West Ham United vs Luton Town Prediction, 5/11/2024 EPL Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 5/6/2024

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Game: West Ham United vs Luton Town

Date: Saturday, May 11, 2024

Location: London Stadium in London, England

TV: Sky Sports

The Hatters (6-7-22) are headed to London Stadium on Saturday where they will try to beat the Hammers (13-10-12). The goalies expected to start will be Alphonse Areola for West Ham United and Thomas Kaminski for Luton Town.

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The Hammers are 14th when it comes to xG with 48.9, and their expected goals against are at 68.8. West Ham has conceded 70 goals while allowing 1.94 G/90, and opponents have tallied 228 SoT on them. Their differential on goals is currently at -9 by means of 56 goals scored and 65 goals conceded. They have amassed 5 clean sheets, which gives them a % of 14.3 for the season. West Ham United has tallied 160 SVs and they also are the owners of a save% of 72.8 on the year. West Ham United has amassed 80 yellow card warnings this year in addition to 3 red cards. For the season, the squad comes in with an average of 1.40 pts/match (49 pts) and have a rank of 9th in EPL with 39 assists.

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For the season, Luton Town F.C. has a save % of 64.3 (207 shots on target against), and also sit at 18th in the league with 25 pts. The Hatters have an average of 0.7 points per fixture while accounting for 32 assists. Luton Town has amassed 48 goals and their goals expected on the year is at 40.1. The Hatters have a shut out rate of 5.7 so far this year and also 63 yellow cards. This team's goals against/90 minutes is 2.17 in addition to 133 saves, and they have compiled 2 clean sheets. Luton Town ranks 18th in the category of goals allowed with 77, and the team's goal difference is sitting at -29.

The man who is expected to protect the net for West Ham United is Alphonse Areola. His goals allowed per 90 minutes is 1.08 (265 goals allowed) and he is the owner of a save percentage of 73.8. Areola (116-66-63 mark in his career) has 92 shutouts, which has him sitting with a 37.6% clean sheet rate. Areola has been on the field for a total of 22,108 minutes and has tallied 668 saves in his pro soccer career. The goalie from France has seen 928 shots tried at him in 245 starts.

Thomas Kaminski will be looking after the goal for Luton Town. Kaminski has totaled 81 shutouts and defended 1,614 shots attempted against him in 32,290 mins throughout his career. He sports a save percentage of 70.5 and his shutout rate is 22.6%. He has surrendered 1.41 goals per 90 mins while he holds a mark of 124-84-148. So far in his pro soccer career, Kaminski has given up 505 goals and has 1,118 stops in 359 starting assignments.

Lucas Paqueta is one footballer who can be a difference maker for West Ham United. Paqueta has started 182 matches in his career and tallies 0.22 goals per 90 mins. The midfielder who is from Brazil has 38 goals scored in 15,371 minutes. He has accounted for 24 assists while tallying 48 yellow cards so far in his pro soccer career.

Luton Town stars Carlton Morris, who has been known to frustrate defenses. He has earned 44 yellow card warnings so far in his pro soccer career and has assisted on a goal 26 times. The forward from England has 18,644 minutes and he has scored 66 goals. He is currently averaging 0.32 goals per 90 mins and has been given a starting assignment in 207 matches in his career.

Who will win tonight's EPL game ATS?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Luton Town

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