Toronto FC vs New York City FC Prediction, 5/11/2024 MLS Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 5/8/2024

Game: Toronto FC vs New York City FC

Date: Saturday, May 11, 2024

Location: BMO Field in Toronto, ON

TV: MLS Season Pass

The Reds (5-1-4) will compete against New York City FC (4-2-4) at BMO Field on Saturday. The goaltenders protecting the net are Sean Johnson for Toronto and Matt Freese for New York City.

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The Reds are 20th when talking about expected goals with 13.6, and the team's expected goals against are 12.9. Toronto has allowed 14 goals while giving up 1.27 goals per 90 min, and opposing clubs have earned 56 SoT on them. The team's differential on goals is -2 with 11 goals compiled and also 13 goals given up. They have 5 clean sheets, which puts them at a percentage of 50.0% on the year. Toronto FC has accumulated 42 saves and also hold a save percentage of 75.0 over the course of the season. Toronto has accounted for 36 yellow card warnings the season as well as 1 red card. This year, this team is sitting with an average of 1.60 pts/match (16 points) and also rank 18th in the league with 10 assists.

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The Pigeons have put together an average of 1.40 points per fixture while earning 8 assists and 2 red cards. NYCFC has earned a clean sheet rate of 20.0% on the year as well as 19 yellow card cautions. New York City sits at 14th in regard to goals against having 10, and the team's goal differential sits at 1. Over the course of the season, NYCFC has a save % of 75.0 (48 SoT against), and have a ranking of 13th in the league with 14 points. Their goals against/90 minutes is currently at 1.09 with 35 saves, and they have earned 2 shutouts. New York City FC has totaled 11 goals and this team's goals expected on the season is 15.8.

The man who will protect the net for Toronto will be Sean Johnson. Johnson (148-111-123 record during his career) has accounted for 99 shutouts, which leaves him with a 25.9% clean sheet rate. The goalkeeper from the United States has seen 1,641 shots attempted at him in 382 starting assignments. His goals allowed per 90 mins is 1.30 (495 goals allowed) and he has earned a save % of 70.9. Johnson has been on the field for 34,356 mins and is sitting with 1,148 stops thus far in his career.

Matt Freese is expected to look after the goal for New York City. He has surrendered 1.45 goals per 90 minutes while earning a mark of 15-15-18. Freese has totaled 12 shutouts and defended 213 shots tried against him in 4,228 minutes throughout his career. So far in his career, Freese has conceded 68 goals while tallying 147 saves in 48 starting assignments. He holds a save percentage of 70.4 and his clean sheet rate is currently at 25.0%.

Jonathan Osorio is one member of the side who can create chances for Toronto. He has accounted for 37 assists while tallying 1 yellow card during his soccer career. The midfielder from Canada has 47 goals scored in 21,292 mins. Osorio has been a starter in 237 outings thus far in his career and scores 0.20 goals per 90 minutes.

New York City has playmaker in Monsef Bakrar, who defenders will be preparing in this game. He is averaging 0.30 G/90 and has had a starting assignment in 38 matches in his career. The forward from Algeria has been on the pitch for 3,246 minutes while scoring 11 goals. He has tallied 1 yellow card so far in his career and has assisted a teammate on a goal 2 times.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Toronto

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Toronto FC vs New York City FC Prediction, 5/11/2024 MLS Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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