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Napoli vs AS Roma Prediction, 4/28/2024 Serie A Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 4/25/2024

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Game: Napoli vs AS Roma

Date: Sunday, April 28, 2024

Location: Stadio Diego Armando Maradona in Naples, Italy

TV: ESPN+

The Yellow and Reds (16-7-9 last year) are headed to Stadio Diego Armando Maradona on Sunday where they will try to beat the Blues (13-10-10 last season). The expected starting goalies will be Alex Meret for Napoli and Mile Svilar for AS Roma.

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Napoli allowed 41 goals while conceding 1.24 goals per 90 min, and their oppositition had 113 shots on target on them. They tallied 6 clean sheets, which had them sitting at a percentage of 18.2 in the prior season. Napoli had 71 yellow card warnings in the previous season and also 5 red cards. The Blues ranked 3rd when talking about xG having 53.5, and the squad's expected goals against were 33.6. For the prior season, the squad finished with an average of 1.48 pts per match (49 pts) and they also had a rank of 6th in Serie A with 33 assists. This team's differential on goals sat at 9 by means of 50 goals earned and also 41 goals surrendered. Napoli had a total of 70 SVs and they also had a save rate of 64.6 over the course of last season.

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Last season, Roma had a save % of 68.4 (114 shots on target against), and they also ranked 5th in the league with 55 points. The Yellow and Reds held an average of 1.7 pts per contest while amassing 39 assists and 2 red cards. AS Roma accumulated 57 goals and this team's expected goals for the previous season was sitting at 43.3. AS Roma amassed a clean sheet rate of 31.3 in the prior season as well as 88 yellow card warnings. The team's goals against/90 minutes was at 1.19 with 78 saves, and they had a total of 10 clean sheets. AS Roma had a rank of 6th when talking about goals relinquished with 38, and the team's goal difference was sitting at 19.

The man who will defend the goal for Napoli is Alex Meret. Meret (90-41-34 mark in his career) has totaled 51 clean sheets, which leaves him with a 30.7% clean sheet percentage. The goalie from Italy has seen 614 shots attempted at him in 166 starts. His GA/90 is 1.06 (176 total goals allowed) and he is the owner of a save percentage of 73.6. Meret has been on the field for a total of 14,899 minutes and has tallied 436 saves during his pro soccer career.

Mile Svilar will reside in front of the goal for AS Roma. During his pro soccer career, Svilar has allowed 18 goals and has tallied 48 stops in 17 starts. He has given up 1.06 goals per 90 mins while earning a record of 10-4-3. He has a save % of 74.2 and his clean sheet rate sits at 41.2%. Svilar has earned 7 shutouts and defended 66 shots against him in 1,532 minutes throughout his career.

Matteo Politano is one guy who should impact this matchup for Napoli. Politano has been a starter in 250 matches thus far in his career while scoring 0.26 goals per 90 mins. The forward who is from Italy has 61 goals in 21,280 professional minutes. He has accounted for 40 assists while earning 30 yellow card warnings during his pro soccer career.

AS Roma is being led onto the pitch by Paulo Dybala, who gets under the skin of opposing sides. The forward born in Argentina has played 23,967 minutes and has scored 127 goals. He averages 0.48 goals per 90 mins and has been a starter in 284 contests thus far in his career. He has 30 yellow card cautions so far in his career and has assisted a teammate on a goal 66 times.

Who will win tonight's Serie A game ATS?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take AS Roma

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