AC Milan vs Lecce Prediction, 4/6/2024 Serie A Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 4/5/2024

Game: AC Milan vs Lecce

Date: Saturday, April 6, 2024

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza in Milan, Italy

TV: Paramount+

The Yellow and Reds (6-11-13 last year) are on their way to Stadio Giuseppe Meazza on Saturday where they will attempt to beat the Red and Blacks (20-5-5 last season). The expected starting goalkeepers are Mike Maignan for AC Milan and Wladimiro Falcone for Lecce.

soccer picks Rafael Leao AC Milan predictions best bet odds

The Red and Blacks sat at 2nd in expected goals with 48.5, and their xGA came in at 35.2. AC Milan surrendered 34 goals while allowing 1.13 G/90, and opposing clubs had a total of 122 shots on target against them. The team's difference in goals sat at 23 by 57 goals accumulated as well as 34 goals conceded. They had a total of 11 clean sheets, giving them a rate of 36.7 over the course of the prior season. AC Milan had 88 SVs and also had a SV percentage of 77.9 last season. AC Milan compiled 72 yellow card warnings over the course of last season and 6 red cards. Last year, this club had an average of 2.17 points per match (65 pts) and also ranked 3rd in the league with 42 assists.

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The Yellow and Reds ended the season with an average of 1.0 pts/match while sitting with 17 assists and 4 red cards. Lecce accumulated a shut out percentage of 13.3 in the prior season and 79 yellow card warnings. Lecce had a ranking of 15th in goals against with 45, and their goal differential sat at -19. Last season, U.S. Lecce had a save % of 71.1 (142 SoT against), and they also were 13th in the league with 29 pts. Their goals against/90 min was 1.50 in addition to 97 saves, and they recorded 4 shut outs. Lecce recorded 26 goals and the squad's expected goals in the prior season sat at 32.8.

The man protecting the net for AC Milan will be Mike Maignan. Maignan (126-50-52 mark in his professional soccer career) has recorded 91 shutouts, which has earned him a 39.9% clean sheet rate. The keeper born in France has had 789 shots attempted at him in 228 starts. His goals allowed per 90 mins is 0.96 (220 total goals surrendered) and he is the owner of a save % of 75.3. Maignan has been on the pitch for a total of 20,534 minutes and has tallied 570 stops during his soccer career.

Wladimiro Falcone is expected to look after the goal for Lecce. Falcone has tallied 21 shutouts while defending 571 shots attempted against him in 10,395 mins throughout his career. He has earned a save % of 76.0 and his shutout rate is 18.3%. He has given up 1.32 goals per 90 minutes while earning a record of 22-41-52. So far in his career, Falcone has surrendered 153 goals and has accumulated 418 saves in 115 starting assignments.

Rafael Leao is one man to keep an eye out for AC Milan. Leao has started 132 games in his pro soccer career and he has earned 0.40 G/90. The forward born in Portugal has accumulated 52 goals in 11,697 minutes. He has 37 assists while tallying 24 yellow card cautions so far in his career.

Lecce is being led by Lameck Banda, who gets under the skin of opposing sides. The forward born in Zambia has been on the pitch for 3,124 minutes while earning 4 goals. He currently averages 0.12 goals per 90 minutes and has been a starter in 36 matches in his pro soccer career. He has 13 yellow card cautions in his career and has assisted on a goal 6 times.

Who will win tonight's Serie A game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take AC Milan

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AC Milan vs Lecce Prediction, 4/6/2024 Serie A Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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