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Villarreal vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction, 5/13/2023 La Liga Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Tony Sink - 5/8/2023

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Game: Villarreal vs Athletic Bilbao

Date: Saturday, May 13, 2023

Location: Estadio de la Cerámica in Villarreal, Spain

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Villarreal (+124) Athletic Bilbao (+214)

Villarreal (16-6-11) are hosting Athletic Bilbao (13-8-12) at Estadio de la Cerámica on Saturday. Villarreal opens at +124 and Athletic Bilbao are priced +214. The betting total is set at 2.75. The men protecting the net are Pepe Reina Villarreal and Unai Simon Athletic Bilbao.

soccer picks Raul Albiol Villarreal predictions best bet odds

Villarreal surrendered 34 goals while surrendering 1.03 goals per 90 min, and opponents tallied 127 shots on target against them. They had a total of 11 clean sheets, which had them at a percentage of 33.3 last year. Villarreal accumulated 77 yellow cards last year in addition to 4 red cards. The Submarino Amarillos had a rank of 4th for expected goals having 52.1, and the squad's xGA were at 41.1. Over the course of the prior season, this team had an average of 1.64 pts per fixture (54 points) and had a rank of 8th in the league with 28 assists. The team's differential on goals sat at 13 by way of 47 goals scored and 34 goals given up. Villarreal had 94 saves and also had a save percentage of 75.6 During the previous year.

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The Lions averaged 1.4 points per contest while accumulating 31 assists and 5 red cards. Athletic Bilbao compiled a shut out % of 33.3 last year in addition to 68 yellow card warnings. Athletic Bilbao ranked 6th in regard to goals against with 33, and the team's goal difference sat at 10. For the year, Athletic Club had a save % of 69.6 (102 SoT against), and ranked 7th in the league with 47 pts. Their goals against/90 minutes sat at 1.00 with 71 saves, and they amassed 11 shut outs. Athletic Bilbao earned 43 goals and this team's xG in the previous season was at 44.5.

The man who is expected to protect the net for Villarreal is Pepe Reina. His GA/90 is 1.03 (662 total goals surrendered) and he is the owner of a save % of .735. Reina (341-157-146 mark during his career) has totaled 249 shutouts, which leaves him with a 38.6% shutout percentage. Reina has played for 57,912 mins and has accumulated 1,835 stops in his career. The goalie born in Spain has seen 2,496 shots attempted against him in 645 starts.

Unai Simon will reside in front of the net for Athletic Bilbao. He has surrendered 1.07 goals per 90 while earning a record of 37-31-37. Simon has totaled 30 shutouts while seeing 324 shots tried against him in 9,336 career minutes. In his career, Simon has allowed 111 goals and has totaled 227 stops in 105 starts. He has a save % of .701 and his shutout rate is currently at 28.6%.

Alex Baena is one man who can be a force for Villarreal. The forward from Spain has earned 9 goals in 4,627 professional minutes. Baena has had a starting assignment in 53 matches during his pro soccer career and scores 0.18 goals per 90 mins. He has accounted for 8 assists while accumulating 28 yellow cards during his pro soccer career.

Athletic Bilbao is being led onto the pitch by Inaki Williams, who gets under the skin of opposing sides. The forward from Spain has been on the pitch for 19,353 mins while he has scored 54 goals. He is currently averaging 0.25 G/90 and has been a starter in 224 matches in his career. He has accumulated 20 yellow card warnings during his pro soccer career and has helped on a goal 29 times.

Who will win tonight's La Liga game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Athletic Bilbao (+214)

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