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Valencia vs Villarreal Prediction, 5/3/2023 La Liga Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 5/1/2023

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Game: Valencia vs Villarreal

Date: Wednesday, May 3, 2023

Location: Estadio de Mestalla in Valencia, Spain

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Valencia (+193) Villarreal (+139)

The Submarino Amarillos (16-5-11) are hitting the road to Estadio de Mestalla on Wednesday where they will take on the Ches (9-6-17). Villarreal are priced at +139 and Valencia are priced +193. The total comes in at 2.75. The starting goalies will be Giorgi Mamardashvili Valencia and Pepe Reina Villarreal.

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Valencia gave up 39 goals while conceding 1.22 goals per 90, and their oppositition earned 122 SoT on them. They had 6 clean sheets, giving them a rate of 18.8 in the previous season. Valencia earned 77 yellow cards last year and 6 red cards. The Ches were 9th when talking about goals expected with 40.3, and their xGA were sitting at 38.3. Last year, this club averaged 1.03 points per contest (33 pts) and also sat at 18th in soccer with 18 assists. The team's goal differential was at -4 by means of 35 goals scored in addition to 39 goals allowed. Valencia recorded 85 saves and had a save% of 69.7 During the previous year.

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Last year, Villarreal CF had a save % of 76.2 (126 SoT against), and were ranked 5th in La Liga with 53 pts. The Submarino Amarillos finished with an average of 1.7 pts per fixture while earning 28 assists and 4 red cards. Villarreal recorded 46 goals and the team's xG over the course of the prior season was at 51.3. Villarreal held a clean sheet percentage of 34.4 last season as well as 75 yellow card warnings. This club's goals against/90 minutes was 1.03 with 94 saves, and they amassed 11 clean sheets. Villarreal had a ranking of 4th in the matter of goals allowed having 33, and the squad's goal differential was sitting at 13.

The man who will protect the net for Valencia will be Giorgi Mamardashvili. His goals allowed per 90 mins is 1.22 (39 total goals given up) and his save % is .697. Mamardashvili (9-6-17 record during his career) has accounted for 6 shutouts, which has earned him a 18.8% shutout percentage. Mamardashvili has defended the goal a total of 2,880 mins and has 85 saves during his soccer career. The goalkeeper born in Georgia has seen 122 shots sent in his direction in 32 starting assignments.

Pepe Reina will reside in front of the net for Villarreal. Reina has recorded 249 clean sheets and has defended 2,495 shots attempted against him in 57,822 minutes in his career. He sports a save percentage of .735 and his shutout rate is currently 38.7%. He has conceded 1.03 goals per 90 mins while he holds a mark of 341-156-146. In his career, Reina has given up 661 goals and has accumulated 1,835 stops in 644 starting assignments.

Hugo Duro is a member of the team who can help decide the match for Valencia. He has 2 assists while earning 11 yellow cards during his career. The forward from Spain has racked up 9 goals in 3,961 mins. Duro has been given a starting assignment in 42 matches so far in his career and scores 0.20 G/90.

Villarreal features a game changer in Alex Baena, who gets under the skin of opposing sides. He has an average of 0.18 goals per 90 minutes and has started 52 outings during his pro soccer career. The forward from Spain has 4,537 professional minutes while scoring 9 goals. He has accounted for 28 yellow card warnings during his soccer career and has helped on a goal 8 times.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Valencia (+193)

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