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Valencia vs Real Madrid Prediction, 5/21/2023 La Liga Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 5/15/2023

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Game: Valencia vs Real Madrid

Date: Sunday, May 21, 2023

Location: Estadio de Mestalla in Valencia, Spain

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Valencia (+238) Real Madrid (+111)

The Meringues (22-5-7) are headed to Estadio de Mestalla on Sunday where they will take on the Ches (10-7-17). The Ches open at +238 while Real Madrid are priced +111. The total is 2.75. The goalies expected to start will be Giorgi Mamardashvili Valencia and Thibaut Courtois Real Madrid.

soccer picks Edison Cavani Valencia predictions best bet odds

Valencia relinquished 41 goals while surrendering 1.21 goals per 90, and opposing teams earned 132 shots on target on them. They had 6 clean sheets, which had them at a percentage of 17.6 over the course of the prior season. Valencia recorded 86 yellow card warnings for the previous season and also 7 red cards. The Ches ranked 10th for expected goals with 42.6, and the squad's xGA were 39.7. For the previous year, the squad had an average of 1.09 points per match (37 pts) and were ranked 17th in soccer with 21 assists. Their differential on goals sat at -3 by means of 38 goals notched as well as 41 goals surrendered. Valencia recorded 93 saves and they also held a SV percentage of 70.5 in the previous season.

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Real Madrid had a total of 70 goals and the team's expected goals over the course of last year was at 70.3. Their goals against per 90 min was at 0.94 in addition to 83 saves, and they earned 13 shut outs. For the year, the Meringues had a save % of 75.4 (114 SoT against), and had a rank of 2nd in La Liga with 71 points. Real Madrid had a rank of 2nd in the matter of goals given up having 32, and their goal differential was 38. Real Madrid recorded a shut out % of 38.2 in the previous season and 63 yellow card cautions. The Meringues had an average of 2.1 points per match while tallying 53 assists and 2 red cards.

The man who is expected to protect the net for Valencia is Giorgi Mamardashvili. Mamardashvili has been on the pitch for 3,060 minutes and has 93 saves so far in his career. His GA/90 is 1.21 (41 goals given up) and he has earned a save % of .705. The keeper from Georgia has faced 132 shots attempted against him in 34 starts. Mamardashvili (10-7-17 mark in his professional soccer career) has totaled 6 shutouts, which has him sitting with a 17.6% clean sheet percentage.

Thibaut Courtois is expected to look after the net for Real Madrid. Courtois has accumulated 175 shutouts while defending 1,290 shots attempted against him in 36,174 mins throughout his career. He has a save % of .729 and his clean sheet rate sits at 43.3%. He has conceded 0.91 goals per 90 while earning a record of 245-84-72. So far in his pro soccer career, Courtois has conceded 365 goals and has totaled 940 saves in 404 starts.

Hugo Duro is one guy to keep an eye out for Valencia. Duro has been given a starting assignment in 42 matches during his soccer career and he scores 0.20 goals per 90 mins. The forward who is from Spain has racked up 9 goals scored in 3,995 professional minutes played. He has totaled 3 assists while earning 11 yellow card cautions so far in his career.

Real Madrid features a game changer in Karim Benzema, who gets under the skin of opposing sides. The forward hailing from France has totaled 36,149 professional minutes and he has scored 252 goals. He sports an average of 0.63 goals per 90 mins and has been in the starting lineup in 422 contests in his pro soccer career. He has accumulated 12 yellow cards so far in his career and has helped a teammate on a goal 107 times.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Valencia (+238)

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