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Toulouse vs Metz Prediction, 10/1/2023 Ligue 1 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 9/26/2023

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Game: Toulouse vs Metz

Date: Sunday, October 1, 2023

Location: Stadium de Toulouse in Toulouse, France

TV: beIN Sports

Odds/Point Spread: Toulouse (+112) Metz (+230)

Stadium de Toulouse is the location where Metz (2-2-2) will attempt to defeat Toulouse (1-3-2) on Sunday. Metz are at at +230 while Les Pitchouns are priced at +112. The total is set at 2.5. The expected starting goalies will be Guillaume Restes for Toulouse and Alexandre Oukidja for Metz.

soccer picks Thijs Dallinga Toulouse predictions best bet odds

Les Pitchouns have a ranking of 18th in regard to expected goals having 4.4, and the team's expected goals against are coming in at 12.1. Toulouse FC has relinquished 8 goals while surrendering 1.33 goals per 90 min, and opposing clubs have amassed 25 SoT against them. This team's differential on goals is at -2 by way of 6 goals notched and 8 goals conceded. They have 1 clean sheet, which puts them at a percentage of 16.7 over the course of the season. Toulouse has amassed 17 SVs and they also are the owners of a save% of 80.0 for the year. Toulouse has amassed 12 yellow card warnings this year. This season, this squad holds an average of 1.00 pts per match (6 pts) and also rank 12th in soccer with 5 assists.

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The Maroons average 1.3 pts per match while tallying 5 assists and 1 red card. The Maroons have accumulated a clean sheet rate of 33.3 on the season in addition to 10 yellow cards. Metz sits at 15th in relation to goals conceded with 10, and the team's goal difference is at -3. So far this season, the Maroons have a save % of 72.2 (36 shots on target against), and are ranked 9th in Ligue 1 with 8 points. Their goals against per 90 min is 1.67 with 26 saves, and they have compiled 2 shut outs. Metz has earned 7 goals and their goals expected for the season sits at 4.5.

The man who will protect the net for Toulouse is Guillaume Restes. His goals allowed per 90 minutes is 1.20 (6 goals allowed) and he has a save percentage of 83.3. Restes (1-3-1 mark during his career) has earned 1 shutouts, which gives him a 20.0% shutout rate. Restes has been on the pitch for a total of 450 mins and has 12 stops during his career. The goalkeeper from France has seen 18 shots tried at him in 5 starts.

Alexandre Oukidja is expected to look after the goal for Metz. Oukidja has racked up 70 clean sheets while defending 678 shots attempted against him in 18,799 mins throughout his career. He is the owner of a save percentage of 72.6 and his clean sheet rate is 33.2%. He has surrendered 1.12 goals per 90 while holding a mark of 88-64-59. During his professional soccer career, Oukidja has allowed 234 goals and has tallied 468 saves in 211 starts.

Thijs Dallinga is one player who should impact this matchup for Toulouse. Dallinga has been in the starting lineup in 72 matches so far in his pro soccer career while he scores 0.63 goals per 90 mins. The forward representing the Netherlands has earned 45 goals in 6,405 minutes played. He has 9 assists while tallying 9 yellow card warnings so far in his career.

Metz has a player in Simon Elisor, who has been known to frustrate defenses. The forward from France has been on the pitch for 2,630 mins while scoring 10 goals. He sports an average of 0.34 goals per 90 minutes and has been given a starting assignment in 26 contests in his career. He has accumulated 7 yellow card cautions during his soccer career and has helped a teammate on a goal 2 times.

Who will win tonight's Ligue 1 game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Toulouse (+112)

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