Toronto FC vs New York City FC Prediction, 4/29/2023 MLS Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 4/25/2023

Game: Toronto FC vs New York City FC

Date: Saturday, April 29, 2023

Location: BMO Field in Toronto, ON

TV: Apple TV - MLS Season Pass

Odds/Point Spread: Toronto (+138) New York City (+195)

The Pigeons (4-3-2) are hitting the road to BMO Field on Saturday where they will go up against TFC (1-6-2). NYCFC is priced at +195 and TFC is at +138. The over/under comes in at 2.5. The goalkeepers who are expected to start will be Sean Johnson for Toronto and Luis Barraza for New York City.

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The Reds have a ranking of 21st in the category of expected goals having 8.9, and their xGA are 10.6. Toronto has surrendered 13 goals while conceding 1.44 G/90, and the opposition have a total of 39 shots on target against them. Their difference in goals is -1 by way of 12 goals finished and also 13 goals surrendered. They have tallied 3 clean sheets, which has them at a rate of 33.3% on the year. Toronto FC has earned 27 SVs and they have a save % of 66.7 over the course of the season. Toronto has accounted for 14 yellow card warnings over the course of the season. This year, this team has put together an average of 1.00 pts/match (9 points) and they also sit at 11th in MLS with 9 assists.

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The Pigeons are averaging 1.67 points per fixture while having 8 assists. NYCFC has compliled a clean sheet percentage of 11.1% this year in addition to 23 yellow cards. New York City has a ranking of 11th in the category of goals surrendered having 10, and their goal differential is coming in at 2. On the campaign, NYCFC has a save % of 73.5 (34 shots on target against), and also sit at 7th in the league with 15 points. Their goals against per 90 minutes is currently at 1.11 in addition to 24 saves, and they have 1 clean sheet. New York City FC has earned 12 goals and the team's expected goals on the season is currently at 10.7.

The man who will protect the net for Toronto is Sean Johnson. His goals against per 90 minutes is 1.46 (294 goals conceded) and he is the owner of a save percentage of .679. Johnson (77-51-74 mark in his career) has recorded 54 shutouts, which leaves him with a 27.0% clean sheet rate. Johnson has seen the field for 18,092 mins and is sitting with 618 saves so far in his pro soccer career. The goalie born in the United States has faced 910 shots tried against him in 200 starting assignments.

Luis Barraza is expected to look after the goal for New York City. So far in his pro soccer career, Barraza has surrendered 264 goals and has earned 655 stops in 214 starts. He has allowed 1.24 goals per 90 mins and he has earned a record of 95-52-67. He is the owner of a save percentage of .713 and his shutout rate sits at 30.8%. Barraza has accumulated 66 shutouts while defending 919 shots tried against him in 19,223 career minutes.

Jonathan Osorio is one member of the team you are going to want to keep your eye on for Toronto. The midfielder who is from Canada has tallied 43 goals in 19,297 minutes. Osorio has started 215 contests so far in his pro soccer career and accounts for 0.20 goals per 90 mins. He has totaled 35 assists while accumulating 23 yellow card cautions so far in his career.

New York City is being led onto the pitch by Gabriel Pereira, who is a thorn in the side of defenses. He has totaled 4 yellow card warnings during his soccer career and has assisted on a goal 7 times. The forward born in Brazil has accumulated 3,510 mins and he has scored 12 goals. He is averaging 0.31 goals per 90 and has been in the starting lineup in 38 matches in his pro soccer career.

Who will win tonight's MLS game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York City (+195)

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Toronto FC vs New York City FC Prediction, 4/29/2023 MLS Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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