Toronto FC vs FC Cincinnati Prediction, 9/30/2023 MLS Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Tony Sink - 9/25/2023

Game: Toronto FC vs FC Cincinnati

Date: Saturday, September 30, 2023

Location: BMO Field in Toronto, ON

TV: Apple TV

Odds/Point Spread: Toronto (+214) Cincinnati (+114)

The Orange and Blue (18-8-4) are traveling to BMO Field on Saturday where they will attempt to defeat TFC (4-10-16). TFC opens at +214 and FCC is at +114. The over/under comes in at 2.5. The goaltenders protecting the net will be Tomas Romero for Toronto and Roman Celentano for Cincinnati.

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Toronto FC has recorded 92 saves and have a save rate of 66.2 so far this season. This team's differential on goals is currently at -24 with the help of 24 goals scored and 48 goals allowed. On the campaign, the club comes in with an average of 0.73 points per contest (22 pts) and have a rank of 25th in MLS with 20 assists. The Reds sit at 29th in relation to goals expected with 28.0, and the team's xGA are sitting at 44.9. Toronto is sitting with 47 yellow cards this year and also 3 red cards. Toronto has allowed 48 goals while giving up 1.60 goals per 90 minutes, and the opposition have recorded 139 SoT on them. They have earned 6 shut outs, giving them a % of 20.0% this year.

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On the season, Cincinnati has a save % of 73.8 (107 SoT against), and also are ranked 1st in the league with 62 points. The Orange and Blue average 2.07 points per match while sitting with 31 assists and 4 red cards. FC Cincinnati has tallied 50 goals and their expected goals over the course of the season is 47.6. Cincinnati has tallied a shut out % of 36.7% on the season in addition to 69 yellow card warnings. Their goals against/90 minutes is 1.10 with 76 saves, and they have 11 shut outs. Cincinnati is 3rd when it comes to goals against with 33, and their difference in goals is 17.

The man who is expected to defend the goal for Toronto will be Tomas Romero. Romero (16-13-29 record in his career) has accumulated 9 shutouts, which has him sitting with a 15.5% clean sheet percentage. The goalie from El Salvador has seen 282 shots sent in his direction in 58 starting assignments. His goals allowed per 90 minutes is 1.90 (111 total goals allowed) and his save % is .613. Romero has seen the field a total of 5,265 minutes and is sitting with 173 saves so far in his career.

Roman Celentano will be looking after the net for Cincinnati. He has allowed 1.14 goals per 90 minutes and he has a record of 87-57-75. Celentano has accumulated 56 shutouts while defending 625 shots attempted against him in 19,731 mins throughout his career. During his pro soccer career, Celentano has conceded 250 goals and has earned 409 stops in 221 starts. He has earned a save percentage of .654 and his clean sheet rate is currently at 25.3%.

Jonathan Osorio is one member of the team who can be a difference maker for Toronto. He has totaled 36 assists while tallying 23 yellow cards thus far in his career. The midfielder born in Canada has earned 44 goals scored in 20,093 professional minutes played. Osorio has had a starting assignment in 224 matches in his career while scoring 0.20 goals per 90 mins.

Cincinnati features a difference maker in Brandon Vazquez, who the defense is sure to gameplan in this matchup. He scores 0.42 goals per 90 mins and has been a starter in 86 games so far in his career. The forward who is from the United States has been on the pitch for 8,181 professional minutes and has scored 38 goals. He has accumulated 9 yellow card cautions thus far in his career and has helped on a goal 18 times.

Who will win tonight's MLS game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Toronto (+214)

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Toronto FC vs FC Cincinnati Prediction, 9/30/2023 MLS Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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