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St. Louis City SC vs Los Angeles FC Prediction, 9/20/2023 MLS Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 9/19/2023

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Game: St. Louis City SC vs Los Angeles FC

Date: Wednesday, September 20, 2023

Location: CITYPARK in St. Louis, MO

TV: fuboTV

Odds/Point Spread: St. Louis (+152) Los Angeles (+155)

The LA Football Club (12-7-9) are hitting the road to CITYPARK on Wednesday where they will attempt to beat CITY (15-4-10). CITY opens at +152 and LAFC is at +155. The over/under is set at 2.5. The expected starting goaltenders will be Roman Burki for St. Louis and John McCarthy for Los Angeles.

soccer picks Joao Klauss St. Louis City SC predictions best bet odds

The St. Louis Soccer Club are ranked 13th concerning expected goals having 36.9, and their expected goals against are coming in at 43.3. St. Louis has surrendered 38 goals while surrendering 1.31 goals per 90, and the opposition have accounted for 145 shots on target on them. Their differential on goals is 18 because of 56 goals scored and also 38 goals allowed. They have tallied 7 shut outs, which has them at a % of 24.1% so far this season. St. Louis City SC has a total of 108 saves and they also have a save rate of 77.9 over the course of the season. St. Louis has earned 71 yellow cards on the year in addition to 4 red cards. On the season, the team averages 1.69 points per fixture (49 points) and also are ranked 9th in the league with 29 assists.

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The LA Football Club average 1.54 pts per match while accumulating 28 assists and 1 red card. LAFC has a clean sheet percentage of 32.1% on the year and 57 yellow cards. Los Angeles is ranked 8th in relation to goals against with 34, and their goal differential sits at 10. This year, LAFC has a save percentage of 71.0 (107 shots on target against), and also sit at 8th in soccer with 43 points. This team's goals against per 90 min is at 1.21 with 73 saves, and they have earned 9 clean sheets. Los Angeles FC has amassed 44 goals and the squad's expected goals this season is at 45.6.

The guy who is expected to defend the goal for St. Louis is Roman Burki. Burki (174-78-98 record during his soccer career) has tallied 108 shutouts, which has him sitting with a 30.9% clean sheet percentage. The goalie from Switzerland has had 1,503 shots attempted against him in 349 career starts. His GA/90 is 1.29 (451 total goals allowed) and his save percentage is .703. Burki has seen the pitch a total of 31,458 mins and is sitting with 1,056 saves so far in his career.

John McCarthy will look after the goal for Los Angeles. McCarthy has recorded 25 shutouts and defended 558 shots against him in 10,720 minutes throughout his career. He has earned a save percentage of .663 and his clean sheet rate sits at 21.0%. He has allowed 1.58 goals per 90 minutes while holding a mark of 43-21-55. During his professional soccer career, McCarthy has surrendered 188 goals and has 370 stops in 119 starts.

Nicholas Gioacchini is one member of the squad who can make a noticable difference for St. Louis. The forward from the United States has totaled 16 goals scored in 5,754 mins played. Gioacchini has been a starter in 62 matchups in his career while he scores 0.25 goals per 90 mins. He has totaled 3 assists while accumulating 1 yellow card during his pro soccer career.

Los Angeles features a game changer in Carlos Vela, who is a thorn in the side of defenses. The forward representing Mexico has earned 32,323 mins while scoring 160 goals. He sports an average of 0.45 goals per 90 minutes and has been a starter in 362 matches thus far in his career. He has 52 yellow card warnings so far in his pro soccer career and has assisted a teammate on a goal 84 times.

Who will win tonight's MLS game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Los Angeles (+155)

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