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Spezia vs Monza Prediction, 4/28/2023 Serie A Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 4/25/2023

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Game: Spezia vs Monza

Date: Friday, April 28, 2023

Location: Stadio Alberto Picco in Cesena, Italy

TV: Paramount +

Odds/Point Spread: Spezia (+162) Monza (+175)

The White and Reds (11-8-12) are en route to Stadio Alberto Picco on Friday where they will play the Eagles (5-12-14). The White and Reds are at at +175 and the Eagles are at +162. The total has been set at 2.5. The goalkeepers who are expected to start will be Bartlomiej Dragowski for Spezia and Michele Di Gregorio for Monza.

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Spezia has recorded 108 saves and also have earned a save percentage of 71.2 over the course of the season. Their differential on goals is at -23 by means of 26 goals put in the net as well as 49 goals given up. On the season, this club has put together an average of 0.87 points per fixture (27 pts) and they also are 18th in Serie A with 15 assists. The Eagles rank 14th concerning expected goals with 33.1, and the expected goals against are 52.3. Spezia is sitting with 83 yellow cards this year and also 5 red cards. The Eagles have surrendered 49 goals while conceding 1.58 goals per 90 min, and their oppositition have recorded 156 SoT against them. They are sitting with 4 shut outs, which has them at a rate of 12.9 this season.

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This season, A.C. Monza has a save percentage of 68.7 (134 SoT against), and sit at 12th in the league with 41 points. The White and Reds are averaging 1.3 pts/match while compiling 23 assists and 2 red cards. Monza has totaled 38 goals and the team's expected goals so far this season is at 38.1. A.C. Monza has recorded a shut out rate of 25.8 on the year in addition to 74 yellow card warnings. The club's goals against per 90 is 1.39 with 92 saves, and they have amassed 8 clean sheets. Monza has a rank of 12th when it comes to goals against with 43, and their difference in goals is sitting at -5.

The man who will defend the goal for Spezia will be Bartlomiej Dragowski. Dragowski has seen the pitch for a total of 13,286 mins and has tallied 467 stops during his career. His goals against per 90 mins is 1.34 (236 goals conceded) and he is the owner of a save percentage of .683. The keeper from Poland has faced 684 shots attempted at him in 148 starting assignments. Dragowski (39-43-67 record during his career) has earned 32 clean sheets, which gives him a 21.6% clean sheet rate.

Michele Di Gregorio will reside in front of the goal for Monza. Di Gregorio has recorded 45 shutouts while seeing 478 shots attempted against him in 11,399 career mins. He has a save percentage of .741 and his clean sheet rate is 35.4%. He has conceded 1.10 goals per 90 while he holds a mark of 57-35-35. Thus far in his career, Di Gregorio has allowed 140 goals while tallying 354 saves in 127 starting assignments.

Emmanuel Gyasi is one member of the squad who can make a noticable difference for Spezia. Gyasi has been a starter in 110 contests so far in his career while he scores 0.15 goals per 90. The forward representing Ghana has totaled 16 goals in 9,401 professional minutes played. He has 13 assists while accumulating 27 yellow card cautions during his pro soccer career.

Monza is being led onto the pitch by Gianluca Caprari, who can change the course of a fixture. The forward from Italy has played 17,295 mins and has scored 56 goals. He averages 0.29 goals per 90 mins and has been a starter in 197 matches during his soccer career. He has accumulated 38 yellow cards in his career and has helped on a goal 29 times.

Who will win tonight's Serie A game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Spezia (+162)

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