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Spezia vs Juventus Prediction, 2/19/2023 Serie A Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 2/14/2023

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Game: Spezia vs Juventus

Date: Sunday, February 19, 2023

Location: Stadio Alberto Picco in Cesena, Italy

TV: Paramount +

Odds/Point Spread: Spezia (+470) Juventus (-163)

The Zebras (13-5-4) are on their way to Stadio Alberto Picco on Sunday where they will go up against the Eagles (4-7-11). The Eagles are priced at +470 and the Zebras are at -163. The over/under has been set at 2.75. The goalies protecting the net will be Bartlomiej Dragowski for Spezia and Wojciech Szczesny for Juventus.

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Spezia has earned 80 SVs and they also have a SV percentage of 69.2 over the course of the season. This team's differential on goals is at -18 with the help of 19 goals put in the net in addition to 37 goals allowed. On the year, this club is sitting with an average of 0.86 pts/match (19 pts) and they also rank 18th in Serie A with 10 assists. The Eagles rank 18th concerning xG having 20.6, and the xGA are at 35.4. Spezia has accounted for 61 yellow card warnings on the campaign and also 3 red cards. The Eagles have allowed 37 goals while conceding 1.68 goals per 90 min, and opposing clubs have 117 shots on target against them. They have recorded 3 clean sheets, which has them sitting at a % of 13.6 on the season.

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Over the course of the season, the Zebras have a save rate of 77.5 (71 shots on target against), and also have a ranking of 2nd in the league with 44 pts. The Zebras average 2.0 pts per match while compiling 26 assists and 4 red cards. Juventus has earned 34 goals and their expected goals for the season is 32.3. The Zebras have a clean sheet % of 63.6 on the season and also 41 yellow card cautions. Their goals against per 90 is currently at 0.77 with 53 saves, and they have compiled 14 shut outs. Juventus ranks 4th for goals surrendered having 17, and the difference in goals is at 17.

The guy who is expected to defend the goal for Spezia will be Bartlomiej Dragowski. Dragowski has seen the pitch for 12,632 minutes and is sitting with 441 saves in his career. His goals allowed per 90 minutes is 1.35 (227 total goals conceded) and he has a save % of .678. The keeper hailing from Poland has seen 650 shots tried at him in 140 career starts. Dragowski (38-39-64 mark during his career) has totaled 31 clean sheets, which leaves him with a 22.1% shutout percentage.

Wojciech Szczesny will look after the goal for Juventus. He has allowed 1.04 goals per 90 mins while holding a mark of 211-79-61. Szczesny has racked up 128 shutouts while defending 1,336 shots attempted against him in 31,533 career minutes. Thus far in his career, Szczesny has allowed 363 goals while tallying 985 stops in 352 starting assignments. He has a save percentage of .737 and his shutout rate is 36.4%.

Daniele Verde is a member of the squad who could help decide the outcome for Spezia. He has accounted for 13 assists while tallying 7 yellow cards so far in his career. The forward born in Italy has totaled 27 goals in 8,343 professional minutes played. Verde has been in the starting lineup in 90 matches in his pro soccer career and has 0.29 goals per 90 minutes.

Juventus has playmaker in Moise Kean, who defenders will be preparing for in this game. He scores 0.54 goals per 90 minutes and has started 53 matches during his pro soccer career. The forward who is from Italy has totaled 5,010 minutes while scoring 30 goals. He has earned 16 yellow card cautions during his pro soccer career and has assisted a teammate on a goal 2 times.

Who will win tonight's Serie A game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Spezia (+470)

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