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Southampton vs Fulham Prediction, 5/13/2023 EPL Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 5/8/2023

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Game: Southampton vs Fulham

Date: Saturday, May 13, 2023

Location: St. Mary's Stadium in Southampton, England

TV: fuboTV

Odds/Point Spread: Southampton (+166) Fulham (+168)

The Cottagers (13-6-15) are hitting the road to St. Mary's Stadium on Saturday where they will go up against the Saints (6-6-22). The Saints are priced at +166 while Fulham are at +168. The over/under has been set at 2.5. The starting goalies are Alex McCarthy for Southampton and Bernd Leno for Fulham.

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The Saints sit at 20th in the category of goals expected having 31.8, and the team's expected goals against sit at 51.3. The Saints have allowed 60 goals while relinquishing 1.76 goals per 90, and opposing clubs have amassed 127 SoT on them. Their differential on goals is at -32 as a result of 28 goals earned and 60 goals given up. They are sitting with 4 clean sheets, which gives them a % of 11.8 so far this year. Southampton has a total of 71 SVs and they also have earned a save rate of 53.5 this season. Southampton has amassed 66 yellow card warnings this year. This year, this squad holds an average of 0.71 points per fixture (24 points) and also are ranked 18th in soccer with 19 assists.

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For the season, Fulham F.C. has a save % of 76.9 (173 shots on target against), and are ranked 10th in soccer with 45 pts. The Cottagers average 1.3 pts per match while amassing 25 assists and 1 red card. Fulham has amassed 45 goals and their goals expected so far this year is currently at 39.8. Fulham F.C. has accounted for a clean sheet percentage of 23.5 this year and 75 yellow cards. Their goals against/90 min is 1.35 with 129 saves, and they have accounted for 8 clean sheets. Fulham ranks 10th in the matter of goals conceded having 46, and the squad's goal differential is at -1.

The man who will protect the net for Southampton is Alex McCarthy. His goals allowed per 90 minutes is 1.48 (393 goals given up) and his save percentage is .698. McCarthy (84-77-106 record in his career) has accumulated 63 clean sheets, which has earned him a 23.7% clean sheet rate. McCarthy has seen the field for a total of 23,960 mins and has 880 stops during his career. The keeper hailing from England has faced 1,260 shots attempted at him in 266 career starts.

Bernd Leno will be looking after the net for Fulham. In his career, Leno has given up 525 goals and has totaled 1,211 saves in 422 starting assignments. He has given up 1.24 goals per 90 while holding a record of 188-103-130. He holds a save percentage of .705 and his clean sheet rate sits at 29.1%. Leno has earned 123 shutouts while defending 1,718 shots attempted against him in 37,955 mins throughout his career.

Adam Armstrong is one member of the team who can make a difference on the pitch for Southampton. Armstrong has been given a starting assignment in 233 games during his soccer career and tallies 0.38 goals per 90 mins. The forward born in England has 88 goals in 20,841 mins. He has totaled 31 assists while earning 13 yellow card cautions during his pro soccer career.

Fulham features an attacker in Joao Palhinha, who the defense is sure to gameplan for in this matchup. He has tallied 0 yellow cards so far in his career and has helped on a goal 3 times. The midfielder hailing from Portugal has totaled 14,683 minutes while scoring 12 goals. He is averaging 0.07 goals per 90 mins and has been in the starting lineup in 166 outings so far in his career.

Who will win tonight's EPL game ATS?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Southampton (+166)

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