Sevilla vs Real Madrid Prediction, 10/22/2023 La Liga Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Tony Sink - 10/17/2023

Game: Sevilla vs Real Madrid

Date: Sunday, October 22, 2023

Location: Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán in Seville, Spain

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Sevilla (+295) Real Madrid (-114)

Estadio Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán is where Real Madrid (8-0-1) will take on Sevilla (2-2-4) on Sunday. Sevilla opens at +295 and Real Madrid are priced -114. The total is 2.5. The starting goalies are Marko Dmitrovic for Sevilla and Kepa Arrizabalaga for Real Madrid.

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Sevilla FC has surrendered 12 goals while giving up 1.50 goals per 90 min, and their oppositition have earned 26 shots on target on them. They have earned 2 shut outs, which has them at a rate of 25.0 on the campaign. Sevilla has amassed 24 yellow card warnings for the season and also 1 red card. The Palanganas are 14th in regard to xG with 9.8, and their xGA are coming in at 12.3. Over the course of the season, this team sports an average of 1.00 pts/match (8 pts) and they also rank 13th in the league with 7 assists. Their goal differential is 1 because of 13 goals finished and also 12 goals relinquished. Sevilla has a total of 15 saves and they have a SV% of 57.7 on the year.

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The Meringues are sitting with an average of 2.7 points per fixture while accumulating 16 assists and 1 red card. The Meringues have amassed a shut out % of 55.6 for the year as well as 16 yellow card cautions. Real Madrid is 1st in relation to goals allowed with 6, and their goal differential is at 14. This season, the Meringues have a save % of 80.0 (30 shots on target against), and they also are ranked 1st in the league with 24 points. The club's goals against per 90 minutes is currently at 0.67 in addition to 24 saves, and they have a total of 5 clean sheets. Real Madrid has accounted for 20 goals and the squad's expected goals over the course of the season is sitting at 17.3.

The man who is expected to protect the net for Sevilla will be Marko Dmitrovic. His goals allowed per 90 mins is 1.24 (307 goals conceded) and he is the owner of a save percentage of 67.4. Dmitrovic (81-62-103 mark in his professional soccer career) has recorded 76 clean sheets, which gives him a 30.8% shutout rate. Dmitrovic has played for a total of 22,309 mins and has 582 stops during his career. The goalie hailing from Serbia has had 887 shots attempted at him in 247 career starting assignments.

Kepa Arrizabalaga will be looking after the net for Real Madrid. So far in his career, Arrizabalaga has allowed 264 goals while tallying 613 saves in 226 starts. He has allowed 1.17 goals per 90 mins while holding a record of 95-56-75. He has earned a save percentage of 70.4 and his clean sheet rate is 32.7%. Arrizabalaga has accumulated 74 shutouts and defended 872 shots tried against him in 20,286 minutes in his career.

Rafa Mir is one player who can make a noticable difference for Sevilla. The forward born in Spain has accumulated 46 goals in 9,121 mins. Mir has been in the starting lineup in 99 contests during his career and tallies 0.45 goals per 90 minutes. He has totaled 5 assists while earning 18 yellow card warnings in his career.

Real Madrid stars Federico Valverde, who the defense is sure to gameplan for in this matchup. He is averaging 0.11 goals per 90 mins and has been a starter in 118 matches so far in his career. The forward from Uruguay has been on the pitch for 10,869 minutes while he has scored 13 goals. He has totaled 10 yellow card warnings in his pro soccer career and has helped on a goal 13 times.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Sevilla (+295)

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Sevilla vs Real Madrid Prediction, 10/22/2023 La Liga Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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