Salernitana vs AC Milan Prediction, 1/4/2023 Serie A Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Josh Schonwald - 1/3/2023

soccer picks Federico Bonazzoli Salernitana predictions best bet odds

Game: Salernitana vs AC Milan

Date: Wednesday, January 4, 2023

Location: Stadio Arechi in Salerno, Italy

TV: Paramount +

Odds/Point Spread: Salernitana (+530) AC Milan (-204)

Salernitana (4-5-6) are hosting AC Milan (10-3-2) at Stadio Arechi on Wednesday. Salernitana are priced at +530 and AC Milan are priced at -204. The total comes in at 2.5. The starting goalies will be Guillermo Ochoa for Salernitana and Ciprian Tatarusanu for AC Milan.

Salernitana has compiled 50 SVs and also hold a save% of 72.4 this season. Their differential on goals is at -5 because of 19 goals tallied as well as 24 goals relinquished. This year, the squad comes in with an average of 1.13 pts per fixture (17 points) and also sit at 11th in Serie A with 12 assists. The Garnets are 14th in relation to goals expected having 16.3, and the team's expected goals against are sitting at 27.0. Salernitana has compiled 33 yellow card warnings for the year as well as 3 red cards. The Garnets have surrendered 24 goals while surrendering 1.60 goals per 90 min, and opposing clubs have compiled 76 SoT on them. They are sitting with 3 clean sheets, giving them a percentage of 20.0 on the year.

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For the year, the Red and Blacks have a save % of 73.6 (53 SoTA), and sit at 2nd in Serie A with 33 points. The Red and Blacks average 2.2 points per match while earning 22 assists and 2 red cards. AC Milan has accounted for 29 goals and this squad's xG over the course of the season sits at 25.1. The Red and Blacks have amassed a clean sheet percentage of 26.7 on the year as well as 38 yellow cards. Their goals against/90 minutes is at 1.00 with 37 saves, and they have a total of 4 clean sheets. AC Milan sits at 4th when talking about goals relinquished with 15, and the goal difference is coming in at 14.

The guy protecting the net for Salernitana is Guillermo Ochoa. Ochoa has seen the pitch for 49,250 minutes and has earned 1,810 saves in his career. His goals allowed per 90 minutes is 1.33 (728 total goals conceded) and his save percentage is .727. The goalkeeper hailing from Mexico has had 2,489 shots tried at him in 547 starts. Ochoa (211-148-188 mark during his soccer career) has accounted for 136 clean sheets, which gives him a 24.9% shutout percentage.

Ciprian Tatarusanu will be residing in front of the goal for AC Milan. Tatarusanu has 120 clean sheets and has defended 1,215 shots attempted against him in 30,143 career mins. He is the owner of a save % of .728 and his shutout rate is currently at 35.5%. He has allowed 1.01 goals per 90 minutes while holding a record of 163-82-90. So far in his career, Tatarusanu has allowed 339 goals and has accounted for 884 stops in 338 starts.

Federico Bonazzoli is one footballer who can make a difference on the pitch for Salernitana. The forward representing Italy has earned 30 goals scored in 8,817 professional minutes played. Bonazzoli has started 91 games thus far in his career while he scores 0.31 goals per 90 mins. He has accounted for 9 assists while accumulating 17 yellow card warnings so far in his pro soccer career.

AC Milan features a game changer in Junior Messias, who can change the course of a fixture. The forward born in Brazil has been on the field for 6,644 professional minutes while scoring 17 goals. He sports an average of 0.23 goals per 90 and has been a starter in 77 outings during his career. He has totaled 14 yellow card warnings in his pro soccer career and has helped a teammate on a goal 9 times.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Salernitana (+530)

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Salernitana vs AC Milan Prediction, 1/4/2023 Serie A Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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