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Real Madrid vs Villarreal Prediction, 4/8/2023 La Liga Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 4/4/2023

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Game: Real Madrid vs Villarreal

Date: Saturday, April 8, 2023

Location: Estadio Santiago Bernabéu in Madrid, Spain

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Real Madrid (-196) Villarreal (+500)

Estadio Santiago Bernabéu is the site where Villarreal (13-5-9) will try to defeat Real Madrid (18-5-4) on Saturday. The Meringues open at -196 and Villarreal are priced +500. The total comes in at 2.5. The starting goalies will be Thibaut Courtois Real Madrid and Pepe Reina Villarreal.

Karim Benzema Real Madrid

Real Madrid allowed 21 goals while allowing 0.78 goals per 90 min, and the opposition accumulated 87 SoT against them. They earned 10 clean sheets, which put them at a rate of 37.0 over the course of the prior season. Real Madrid had a total of 52 yellow cards over the course of the prior season and also 1 red card. The Meringues were 1st when talking about xG with 56.7, and their expected goals against were sitting at 24.4. Last year, the squad averaged 2.19 points per fixture (59 pts) and they also were 1st in La Liga with 42 assists. Their differential on goals was at 36 by means of 57 goals accumulated and 21 goals relinquished. Real Madrid recorded 67 saves and also held a save% of 80.5 in the prior season.

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The Submarino Amarillos finished with an average of 1.6 pts per match while accounting for 20 assists and 4 red cards. Villarreal accounted for a shut out percentage of 40.7 during the previous year as well as 66 yellow cards. Villarreal sat at 4th in the category of goals allowed with 24, and the team's goal difference was sitting at 10. Last season, Villarreal CF had a save percentage of 79.4 (102 SoTA), and also ranked 6th in La Liga with 44 points. Their goals against per 90 minutes was 0.89 in addition to 78 saves, and they had a total of 11 clean sheets. Villarreal accumulated 34 goals and the team's xG for the prior year sat at 39.7.

The man defending the goal for Real Madrid will be Thibaut Courtois. Courtois (241-84-70 record in his career) has earned 172 shutouts, which leaves him with a 43.2% clean sheet rate. The goalkeeper hailing from Belgium has had 1,268 shots attempted at him in 398 career starts. His goals allowed per 90 minutes is 0.90 (358 goals given up) and his save percentage is .729. Courtois has played a total of 35,634 mins and is sitting with 925 saves in his career.

Pepe Reina will look after the goal for Villarreal. Reina has earned 249 clean sheets while he has seen 2,471 shots attempted against him in 57,372 career mins. He has a save percentage of .736 and his shutout rate sits at 39.0%. He has allowed 1.02 goals per 90 mins while earning a record of 338-156-144. So far in his career, Reina has surrendered 652 goals and has accounted for 1,819 stops in 639 starts.

Karim Benzema is a man who can make a difference on the pitch for Real Madrid. He has totaled 107 assists while accumulating 12 yellow card cautions in his career. The forward born in France has 249 goals in 35,821 minutes played. Benzema has had a starting assignment in 418 outings in his career and accounts for 0.63 goals per 90 minutes.

Villarreal features an attacker in Alex Baena, who can change the course of a fixture. He has tallied 28 yellow cards during his career and has helped a teammate on a goal 7 times. The forward hailing from Spain has totaled 4,337 mins and he has scored 9 goals. He scores 0.19 goals per 90 and has been given a starting assignment in 50 games in his career.

Who will win tonight's La Liga game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Villarreal (+500)

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