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Real Madrid vs Espanyol Prediction, 3/11/2023 La Liga Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Tony Sink - 3/7/2023

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Game: Real Madrid vs Espanyol

Date: Saturday, March 11, 2023

Location: Estadio Santiago Bernabéu in Madrid, Spain

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Real Madrid (-380) Espanyol (+1025)

The Budgerigars (6-9-9) are headed to Estadio Santiago Bernabéu on Saturday where they will take on the Meringues (16-5-3). Espanyol are priced at +1025 while Real Madrid are priced -380. The over/under is 2.75. The starting goaltenders will be Thibaut Courtois Real Madrid and Alvaro Fernandez Espanyol.

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Real Madrid surrendered 18 goals while giving up 0.75 goals per 90 min, and opposing clubs amassed 76 shots on target on them. They earned 9 clean sheets, which had them at a percentage of 37.5 in the previous season. Real Madrid earned 46 yellow card warnings for the prior year and 1 red card. The Meringues were ranked 1st in relation to xG with 49.8, and their expected goals against were at 20.8. For the prior campaign, this team finished with an average of 2.21 pts/match (53 pts) and also were ranked 2nd in La Liga with 33 assists. The team's goal differential was 29 by means of 47 goals scored as well as 18 goals allowed. Real Madrid tallied 59 SVs and they also held a save rate of 81.6 last year.

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The Budgerigars averaged 1.1 points per fixture while sitting with 19 assists and 7 red cards. Espanyol compiled a clean sheet rate of 16.7 for the prior year as well as 61 yellow card cautions. Espanyol ranked 13th in the category of goals allowed having 36, and their goal differential was at -6. On the year, RCD Espanyol had a save percentage of 65.7 (105 shots on target against), and sat at 13th in La Liga with 27 points. This clubs's goals against/90 min was sitting at 1.50 with 71 saves, and they recorded 4 clean sheets. Espanyol accumulated 30 goals and this team's goals expected in the prior season was 28.3.

The guy protecting the net for Real Madrid will be Thibaut Courtois. Courtois has defended the goal for 35,364 minutes and has 917 saves so far in his pro soccer career. His goals allowed per 90 mins is 0.90 (355 total goals surrendered) and his save percentage is .730. The goalie born in Belgium has had 1,257 shots tried against him in 395 career starts. Courtois (239-84-69 mark during his soccer career) has recorded 171 shutouts, which leaves him with a 43.3% shutout percentage.

Alvaro Fernandez is expected to look after the goal for Espanyol. During his professional soccer career, Fernandez has conceded 129 goals and has accounted for 232 saves in 99 starts. He has surrendered 1.30 goals per 90 while holding a record of 35-22-42. He sports a save % of .707 and his shutout rate is currently 26.3%. Fernandez has racked up 26 clean sheets while he has seen 328 shots tried against him in 8,955 career minutes.

Marco Asensio is a member of the team who has a chance to score for Real Madrid. The forward representing Spain has racked up 33 goals in 14,513 minutes played. Asensio has been in the starting lineup in 158 matchups during his career while he scores 0.20 G/90. He has 35 assists while tallying 18 yellow card warnings so far in his pro soccer career.

Espanyol is being led by Javi Puado, who is a thorn in the side of defenses. He has 9 yellow cards in his career and has helped on a goal 14 times. The forward from Spain has been on the pitch for 5,957 mins while earning 19 goals. He has an average of 0.29 goals per 90 mins and has been a starter in 66 contests so far in his career.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Espanyol (+1025)

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