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Real Madrid vs Almeria Prediction, 4/29/2023 La Liga Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Tony Sink - 4/25/2023

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Game: Real Madrid vs Almeria

Date: Saturday, April 29, 2023

Location: Estadio Santiago Bernabéu in Madrid, Spain

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Real Madrid (-699) Almeria (+1500)

The Rojiblancos (8-6-16) are traveling to Estadio Santiago Bernabéu on Saturday where they will try to defeat the Meringues (20-5-5). Almeria are priced at +1500 and Real Madrid are priced -699. The over/under is 2.75. The expected starting goaltenders will be Thibaut Courtois Real Madrid and Fernando Almeria.

soccer picks Thibaut Courtois Real Madrid predictions best bet odds

Real Madrid accounted for 77 saves and they also held a save rate of 80.0 last year. This team's difference in goals was sitting at 39 with the help of 63 goals tallied and 24 goals surrendered. Last year, this club finished with an average of 2.17 pts per match (65 points) and sat at 1st in La Liga with 47 assists. The Meringues were 1st when it comes to expected goals with 64.1, and their xGA were 27.5. Real Madrid had 53 yellow card warnings last year and also 1 red card. Real Madrid relinquished 24 goals while conceding 0.80 goals per 90 minutes, and opponents accounted for 100 SoT on them. They earned 12 shut outs, which put them at a % of 40.0 over the course of last season.

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On the year, UD Almeria had a save percentage of 69.9 (163 SoT against), and sat at 18th in soccer with 30 pts. The Rojiblancos ended the season with an average of 1.0 points per match while recording 24 assists and 3 red cards. Almeria tallied 36 goals and this team's goals expected in the prior season was at 34.6. Almeria sat with a clean sheet rate of 6.7 last year in addition to 86 yellow cards. Their goals against per 90 min was 1.73 in addition to 111 saves, and they amassed 2 shut outs. Almeria ranked 17th in regard to goals conceded with 52, and their goal difference was -16.

The guy who will defend the goal for Real Madrid will be Thibaut Courtois. Courtois has seen the pitch for 35,904 minutes and has earned 935 stops so far in his career. His goals allowed per 90 minutes is 0.90 (361 total goals given up) and he holds a save percentage of .730. The goalkeeper from Belgium has faced 1,281 shots attempted against him in 401 starts. Courtois (243-84-71 mark during his soccer career) has accumulated 174 shutouts, which has earned him a 43.4% clean sheet rate.

Fernando is expected to look after the net for Almeria. Martinez has totaled 34 shutouts while seeing 430 shots tried against him in 10,789 minutes in his career. He sports a save percentage of .726 and his clean sheet rate is 28.3%. He has given up 1.08 goals per 90 mins while holding a record of 53-25-43. During his pro soccer career, Martinez has given up 130 goals while totaling 312 stops in 120 starting assignments.

Karim Benzema is one member of the squad who can create chances for Real Madrid. Benzema has been a starter in 421 contests during his career and tallies 0.62 G/90. The forward hailing from France has accumulated 249 goals in 36,059 minutes played. He has 107 assists while accumulating 12 yellow card cautions so far in his career.

Almeria is being led by Leo Baptistao, who defenders will be preparing in this game. He has earned 2 yellow card warnings in his pro soccer career and has helped on a goal 27 times. The forward from Brazil has been on the pitch for 17,804 professional minutes while scoring 52 goals. He is averaging 0.26 goals per 90 minutes and has been given a starting assignment in 212 matches in his career.

Who will win tonight's La Liga game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Real Madrid (-699)

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