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Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao Prediction, 3/5/2023 La Liga Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Tony Sink - 2/28/2023

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Game: Rayo Vallecano vs Athletic Bilbao

Date: Sunday, March 5, 2023

Location: Estadio del Rayo Vallecano in Madrid, Spain

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Rayo Vallecano (+196) Athletic Bilbao (+158)

Rayo Vallecano (9-7-7) are welcoming Athletic Bilbao (9-5-9) at Estadio del Rayo Vallecano on Sunday. Rayo Vallecano opens at +196 and Athletic Bilbao are priced +158. The over/under comes in at 2.75. The expected starting goaltenders are Stole Dimitrievski Rayo Vallecano and Unai Simon Athletic Bilbao.

soccer picks Stole Dimitrievski Rayo Vallecano predictions best bet odds

The Red Sashes sat at 11th in goals expected with 27.6, and the squad's xGA were 27.9. Rayo Vallecano surrendered 25 goals while giving up 1.09 goals per 90, and opposing clubs earned 82 SoT against them. Their goal differential was 4 by way of 29 goals earned and also 25 goals relinquished. They tallied 8 shut outs, which put them at a percentage of 34.8 last season. Rayo Vallecano accounted for 59 SVs and were the owners of a SV% of 73.2 in the previous season. Rayo Vallecano amassed 64 yellow card warnings last year and also 3 red cards. Last campaign, the squad averaged 1.48 points per match (34 pts) and they also were ranked 10th in the league with 18 assists.

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The Lions put together an average of 1.4 points per contest while having 24 assists and 3 red cards. Athletic Bilbao had a CS% of 34.8 in the prior season in addition to 45 yellow cards. Athletic Bilbao had a ranking of 5th in relation to goals conceded with 26, and the goal difference was at 7. Last year, Athletic Club had a save % of 68.4 (79 SoTA), and they also were 8th in soccer with 32 pts. Their goals against per 90 minutes was sitting at 1.13 with 55 saves, and they earned 8 clean sheets. Athletic Bilbao tallied 33 goals and this team's expected goals for the previous season was at 30.3.

The guy who is expected to defend the goal for Rayo Vallecano is Stole Dimitrievski. His goals against per 90 mins is 1.17 (177 total goals surrendered) and he is the owner of a save % of .728. Dimitrievski (54-44-54 record during his soccer career) has earned 44 shutouts, which leaves him with a 28.9% clean sheet percentage. Dimitrievski has seen the pitch a total of 13,652 minutes and has 420 stops during his pro soccer career. The goalkeeper hailing from North Macedonia has had 577 shots sent his way in 152 starting assignments.

Unai Simon will be looking after the net for Athletic Bilbao. Simon has tallied 29 clean sheets and has defended 311 shots against him in 8,886 minutes throughout his career. He has a save percentage of .701 and his clean sheet rate is currently at 29.0%. He has conceded 1.08 goals per 90 minutes and he has a record of 34-31-35. So far in his career, Simon has conceded 107 goals and has earned 218 stops in 100 starts.

Radamel Falcao is one man who can make an impact for Rayo Vallecano. He has totaled 24 assists while tallying 49 yellow cards during his soccer career. The forward born in Columbia has racked up 184 goals scored in 22,087 professional minutes. Falcao has started 248 matchups thus far in his career and scores 0.75 goals per 90 minutes.

Athletic Bilbao features Raul Garcia, who has been known to frustrate defenses. He has collected 143 yellow cards during his pro soccer career and has helped on a goal 45 times. The forward from Spain has totaled 35,394 minutes while he has scored 104 goals. He currently averages 0.26 goals per 90 mins and has been given a starting assignment in 397 matches so far in his pro soccer career.

Who will win tonight's La Liga game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Athletic Bilbao (+158)

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