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PSG vs Lens Prediction, 8/27/2023 Ligue 1 Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Tony Sink - 8/21/2023

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Game: PSG vs Lens

Date: Sunday, August 27, 2023

Location: Parc des Princes in Paris, France

TV: beIN Sports

Odds/Point Spread: PSG (-177) Lens (+450)

The Blood and Gold (0-1-1) are on their way to Parc des Princes on Sunday where they will meet the Parisians (0-2-0). PSG are priced at -177 while Lens are priced at +450. The total comes in at 2.5. The expected starting goaltenders are Gianluigi Donnarumma for PSG and Brice Samba for Lens.

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The Parisians are ranked 6th when talking about expected goals with 3.3, and their xGA are 1.3. The Parisians have surrendered 1 goal while relinquishing 0.50 G/90, and their oppositition have accounted for 2 SoT against them. The team's differential on goals is at 0 by way of 1 goal finished and also 1 goal given up. They have compiled 1 clean sheet, giving them a % of 50.0 this season. PSG has recorded 1 save and have earned a SV rate of 100.0 on the year. PSG has compiled 3 yellow cards this year. For the year, the club sports an average of 1.00 pts/match (2 pts) and are ranked 18th in soccer with 0 assists.

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This season, RC Lens a save rate of 92.3 (13 SoT against), and rank 14th in Ligue 1 with 1 point. The Blood and Gold are averaging 0.5 pts per contest while earning 2 assists and 1 red card. Lens has compiled 3 goals and the team's expected goals on the season sits at 1.7. RC Lens earned 5 yellow card cautions. The club's goals against per 90 minutes is currently at 2.00 in addition to 9 saves. Lens is 13th in the category of goals against with 4, and the difference in goals is at -1.

The guy who is expected to defend the goal for PSG is Gianluigi Donnarumma. Donnarumma (148-62-60 record in his career) has accumulated 90 clean sheets, which gives him a 33.1% clean sheet rate. The keeper from Italy has seen 1,044 shots attempted against him in 272 starts. His goals allowed per 90 mins is 1.06 (285 goals surrendered) and his save % is 74.6. Donnarumma has seen the field for 24,210 mins and is sitting with 758 saves so far in his career.

Brice Samba will look after the goal for Lens. In his career, Samba has surrendered 210 goals and has tallied 597 stops in 208 starts. He has surrendered 1.00 goals per 90 mins while he holds a record of 83-64-62. He is the owner of a save % of 77.0 and his shutout rate sits at 33.7%. Samba has totaled 70 clean sheets while defending 804 shots tried against him in 18,828 mins throughout his career.

Marco Asensio is one player you are going to want to keep your eye on for PSG. Asensio has started 186 matchups so far in his career and he scores 0.25 goals per 90 mins. The forward born in Spain has totaled 48 goals scored in 17,087 minutes played. He has accounted for 38 assists while earning 20 yellow card warnings during his career.

Lens features a difference maker in Florian Sotoca, who is a thorn in the side of defenses. The forward from France has accumulated 13,507 professional minutes while scoring 42 goals. He is currently averaging 0.28 goals per 90 mins and has been given a starting assignment in 153 games during his pro soccer career. He has accumulated 26 yellow card cautions in his pro soccer career and has assisted a teammate on a goal 27 times.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take PSG (-177)

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