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Portland Timbers vs FC Dallas Prediction, 6/11/2023 MLS Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 6/5/2023

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Game: Portland Timbers vs FC Dallas

Date: Sunday, June 11, 2023

Location: Providence Park in Portland, OR

TV: Apple TV - MLS Season Pass

Odds/Point Spread: Portland (+112) Dallas (+238)

The Timbers (4-5-7) will go up against FC Dallas (6-5-5) at Providence Park on Sunday. The Timbers open at +112 while FCD is at +238. The over/under is 2.5. The starting goalkeepers will be Aljaz Ivacic for Portland and Maarten Paes for Dallas.

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Portland has conceded 24 goals while allowing 1.50 G/90, and opposing clubs have amassed 78 shots on target on them. They have recorded 4 clean sheets, giving them a % of 25.0% over the course of the season. Portland has tallied 37 yellow cards this year. The Timbers are ranked 28th concerning xG having 15.5, and their expected goals against are coming in at 21.1. This season, this team is sitting with an average of 1.06 points per fixture (17 pts) and also are ranked 12th in the league with 15 assists. Their differential on goals is at -5 with the help of 19 goals notched and 24 goals given up. The Portland Timbers have earned 56 saves and hold a save percentage of 70.5 the year.

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the year, Dallas has a save % of 70.5 (61 SoTA), and are 11th in the league with 23 points. The Toros hold an average of 1.44 points per fixture while amassing 17 assists and 1 red card. FC Dallas has recorded 19 goals and this squad's expected goals on the campaign sits at 18.1. Dallas has a CS% of 18.8% on the campaign and also 37 yellow card warnings. Their goals against per 90 minutes is currently at 1.13 with 44 saves, and they have tallied 3 clean sheets. Dallas sits at 13th in goals conceded with 18, and their goal difference is 1.

The man protecting the net for Portland will be Aljaz Ivacic. Ivacic has played a total of 5,631 mins and is sitting with 220 saves so far in his career. His goals allowed per 90 minutes is 1.76 (110 total goals allowed) and his save percentage is .677. The keeper hailing from Slovenia has faced 325 shots sent his way in 62 career starts. Ivacic (20-19-23 record during his career) has totaled 9 clean sheets, which leaves him with a 14.5% shutout percentage.

Maarten Paes will reside in front of the net for Dallas. Paes has accumulated 63 shutouts while defending 1,243 shots against him in 24,321 career mins. He is the owner of a save percentage of .714 and his clean sheet rate sits at 23.5%. He has allowed 1.32 goals per 90 minutes and he has earned a record of 104-77-89. Thus far in his career, Paes has conceded 358 goals and has earned 888 stops in 268 starts.

Santiago Moreno is a member of the squad to keep an eye out for Portland. He has 17 assists while tallying 8 yellow card warnings in his career. The forward born in Colombia has tallied 13 goals scored in 6,069 minutes played. Moreno has been given a starting assignment in 70 matchups during his soccer career and he scores 0.19 goals per 90 mins.

Dallas has a player in Jesus Ferreira, who gives opposing coaches headaches. He has 17 yellow card warnings during his career and has assisted on a goal 22 times. The forward hailing from the United States has been on the pitch for 10,654 minutes and he has scored 51 goals. He scores 0.43 goals per 90 and has been a starter in 122 contests during his career.

Who will win tonight's MLS game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Dallas (+238)

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