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Newcastle United vs Southampton Prediction, 4/30/2023 EPL Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Tony Sink - 4/25/2023

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Game: Newcastle United vs Southampton

Date: Sunday, April 30, 2023

Location: St. James' Park in Tyne, England

TV: fuboTV

Odds/Point Spread: Newcastle United (-289) Southampton (+820)

St. James' Park is the location where Southampton (6-6-20) will play Newcastle United (16-11-4) on Sunday. The Magpies open at -289 while Southampton are at +820. The over/under is 2.75. The goalies protecting the net will be Nick Pope for Newcastle United and Gavin Bazunu for Southampton.

soccer picks Callum Wilson Newcastle United predictions best bet odds

The Magpies have relinquished 25 goals while relinquishing 0.81 goals per 90, and their opponents are sitting with 102 SoT on them. They have a total of 13 clean sheets, which has them sitting at a percentage of 41.9 this season. Newcastle United has accounted for 51 yellow card warnings so far this season and 1 red card. The Magpies have a ranking of 4th in xG with 54.2, and their xGA are at 31.8. Over the course of the season, this club averages 1.90 pts/match (59 points) and also rank 6th in soccer with 35 assists. Their differential on goals is 29 as a result of 54 goals scored and also 25 goals relinquished. Newcastle United has amassed 76 SVs and are the owners of a save percentage of 77.5 this year.

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The Saints are averaging 0.8 pts per fixture while earning 18 assists. The Saints have tallied a clean sheet rate of 12.5 over the course of the season and 62 yellow card cautions. Southampton is ranked 18th in relation to goals conceded having 56, and the difference in goals is at -29. Over the course of the season, the Saints have a save % of 54.2 (120 shots on target against), and sit at 20th in the league with 24 points. Their goals against per 90 is currently at 1.75 with 67 saves, and they have accounted for 4 clean sheets. Southampton has amassed 27 goals and the team's expected goals on the campaign is at 30.5.

The guy defending the goal for Newcastle United is Nick Pope. Pope has seen the field for 23,430 minutes and is sitting with 803 saves in his career. His goals allowed per 90 mins is 1.07 (278 total goals surrendered) and his save % is .750. The goalkeeper hailing from England has had 1,070 shots sent his way in 260 career starting assignments. Pope (96-83-82 mark during his career) has earned 99 shutouts, which has earned him a 38.1% shutout rate.

Gavin Bazunu will look after the goal for Southampton. He has allowed 1.54 goals per 90 mins while earning a mark of 29-29-47. Bazunu has 24 shutouts while defending 443 shots attempted against him in 9,450 minutes throughout his career. In his career, Bazunu has given up 162 goals while totaling 287 saves in 105 starting assignments. He holds a save percentage of .648 and his clean sheet rate is currently 22.9%.

Callum Wilson is a member of the squad who can be a force for Newcastle United. The forward born in England has recorded 116 goals in 23,673 mins. Wilson has started 268 games in his pro soccer career and scores 0.44 goals per 90. He has accounted for 35 assists while tallying 41 yellow card warnings so far in his pro soccer career.

Southampton has a guy in Adam Armstrong, who pesters opposing defenses. He has an average of 0.38 goals per 90 mins and has been in the starting lineup in 232 games so far in his pro soccer career. The forward born in England has played 20,745 minutes while earning 88 goals. He has earned 13 yellow card warnings so far in his pro soccer career and has assisted a teammate on a goal 31 times.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Newcastle United (-289)

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