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New England Revolution vs Houston Dynamo Prediction, 3/4/2023 MLS Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 2/28/2023

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Game: New England Revolution vs Houston Dynamo

Date: Saturday, March 4, 2023

Location: Gillette Stadium in Foxborough, MA

TV: Apple TV - MLS Season Pass

Odds/Point Spread: New England (-142) Houston (+370) The Dynamo (10-6-18 last year) are headed to Gillette Stadium on Saturday where they will meet the Revolution (10-12-12 last season). The Revolution open at -142 and the Dynamo are at +370. The total comes in at 3. The goaltenders who are expected to start will be Djordje Petrovic for New England and Steve Clark for Houston.

soccer picks Carles Gil New England Revolution predictions best bet odds

New England allowed 50 goals while giving up 1.47 goals per 90, and opposing teams compiled 162 SoT on them. They accounted for 9 clean sheets, which gave them a percentage of 26.5% over the course of last season. New England were sitting with 56 yellow card warnings the prior year as well as 2 red cards. The Revolution were 18th for xG with 44.7, and their xGA came in at 53.7. The previous campaign, the team held an average of 1.24 points per match (42 points) and they also were 10th in MLS with 36 assists. Their differential on goals was -3 with the help of 47 goals accumulated as well as 50 goals conceded. New England earned 110 SVs and also were the owners of a save rate of 74.1 over the course of the prior season.

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Houston had a total of 43 goals and the team's goals expected in the prior season was at 44.3. The club's goals against/90 min was at 1.65 with 108 saves, and they earned 6 shut outs. Last year, Houston had a save % of 69.3 (163 shots on target against), and they also ranked 25th in soccer with 36 points. Houston ranked 24th for goals conceded with 56, and the team's goal differential was sitting at -13. Houston accounted a CS% of 17.6% during the previous year and 95 yellow cards. The Dynamo averaged 1.06 pts/match while amassing 30 assists and 6 red cards.

The guy who is expected to defend the goal for New England is Djordje Petrovic. His goals against per 90 mins is 0.43 (49 goals allowed) and he is the owner of a save % of .753. Petrovic (52-33-28 record in his career) has totaled 39 shutouts, which gives him a 34.5% shutout rate. Petrovic has been on the pitch for 10,170 minutes and has accumulated 134 stops in his pro soccer career. The goalkeeper hailing from Serbia has seen 178 shots attempted against him in 113 career starts.

Steve Clark will look after the goal for Houston. Clark has earned 77 shutouts and defended 1,598 shots attempted against him in 29,562 minutes in his career. He sports a save % of .713 and his clean sheet rate sits at 23.3%. He has given up 1.43 goals per 90 and he has a mark of 118-85-126. In his career, Clark has conceded 470 goals and has tallied 1,139 saves in 330 starting assignments.

Carles Gil is a player who can be a force in the game for New England. The midfielder hailing from Spain has totaled 30 goals scored in 18,144 professional minutes. Gil has had a starting assignment in 203 matchups during his career and scores 0.15 goals per 90. He has 43 assists while earning 28 yellow card cautions during his soccer career.

Houston has a guy in Sebastian Ferreira, who can cause havoc on the pitch. The forward born in Paraguay has been on the field for 10,505 professional minutes while scoring 66 goals. He currently averages 0.57 G/90 and has been in the starting lineup in 125 matches in his pro soccer career. He has tallied 26 yellow cards during his career and has assisted a teammate on a goal 13 times.

Who will win tonight's MLS game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Houston (+370)

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