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Napoli vs Fiorentina Prediction, 10/8/2023 Serie A Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Tony Sink - 10/3/2023

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Game: Napoli vs Fiorentina

Date: Sunday, October 8, 2023

Location: Stadio Diego Armando Maradona in Naples, Italy

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Napoli (-149) Fiorentina (+390)

Napoli (4-2-1 last season) are hosting Fiorentina (3-2-1 last year) at Stadio Diego Armando Maradona on Sunday. Fiorentina are at at +390 while the Blues are at -149. The betting total is set at 2.5. The starting goalies will be Alex Meret for Napoli and Pietro Terracciano for Fiorentina.

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The Blues were ranked 1st for xG having 15.0, and the xGA came in at 4.2. Napoli surrendered 6 goals while giving up 0.86 goals per 90, and the opposition had a total of 16 SoT on them. The team's difference in goals was 10 with 16 goals put in the net as well as 6 goals surrendered. They tallied 3 clean sheets, giving them a % of 42.9 over the course of the prior season. Napoli amassed 10 saves and held a SV rate of 68.8 in the previous season. Napoli had 13 yellow cards last year. For the previous campaign, the squad finished with an average of 2.00 pts per fixture (14 points) and also were 5th in the league with 10 assists.

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Fiorentina earned 12 goals and the team's xG for the prior year was 5.8. Their goals against per 90 was sitting at 1.67 with 20 saves, and they accumulated 1 clean sheet. Last season, ACF Fiorentina had a save percentage of 70.0 (30 SoT against), and also were 6th in soccer with 11 pts. Fiorentina ranked 8th in regard to goals given up having 10, and the squad's goal differential sat at 2. Fiorentina sat with a clean sheet % of 16.7 for the prior year as well as 10 yellow cards. The Purples held an average of 1.8 points per match while tallying 9 assists.

The man defending the goal for Napoli is Alex Meret. Meret has been on the pitch for 12,936 mins and has accumulated 384 saves thus far in his career. His goals against per 90 mins is 1.03 (148 goals allowed) and his save percentage is 74.8. The goalkeeper hailing from Italy has had 532 shots sent his way in 144 career starts. Meret (82-33-28 mark in his professional soccer career) has earned 48 clean sheets, which leaves him with a 33.3% shutout percentage.

Pietro Terracciano will be residing in front of the goal for Fiorentina. Terracciano has tallied 39 shutouts and has seen 657 shots against him in 14,738 career mins. He sports a save percentage of 69.7 and his shutout rate is 24.1%. He has given up 1.28 goals per 90 while holding a mark of 57-48-57. In his career, Terracciano has given up 210 goals and has tallied 450 stops in 162 starts.

Victor Osimhen is a player who can make a difference on the pitch for Napoli. The forward representing Nigeria has recorded 80 goals in 11,313 professional minutes played. Osimhen has had a starting assignment in 125 games so far in his career while he scores 0.64 goals per 90 mins. He has accounted for 16 assists while accumulating 19 yellow cards during his soccer career.

Fiorentina features a difference maker in Nicolas Gonzalez, who has been known to frustrate defenses. The forward born in Argentina has 10,960 professional minutes and he has scored 45 goals. He scores 0.37 goals per 90 mins and has been in the starting lineup in 120 matches in his career. He has tallied 26 yellow cards so far in his career and has assisted on a goal 17 times.

Who will win tonight's Serie A game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Fiorentina (+390)

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