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Napoli vs AC Milan Prediction, 10/29/2023 Serie A Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Tony Sink - 10/24/2023

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Game: Napoli vs AC Milan

Date: Sunday, October 29, 2023

Location: Stadio Diego Armando Maradona in Naples, Italy

TV: ESPN+

Odds/Point Spread: Napoli (+124) AC Milan (+216)

The Red and Blacks (7-0-2 last year) are on their way to Stadio Diego Armando Maradona on Sunday where they will attempt to defeat the Blues (5-2-2 last season). AC Milan are at at +216 while the Blues are at +124. The total is set at 2.5. The men protecting the net will be Alex Meret for Napoli and Mike Maignan for AC Milan.

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Napoli conceded 10 goals while giving up 1.11 goals per 90 min, and opponents had 28 SoT on them. They compiled 3 clean sheets, which had them at a percentage of 33.3 for the prior year. Napoli compiled 17 yellow card warnings over the course of last season. The Blues had a ranking of 1st in the matter of goals expected with 19.1, and their expected goals against came in at 7.6. Over the course of the prior season, the club put together an average of 1.89 points per match (17 pts) and ranked 4th in the league with 13 assists. Their difference in goals was at 10 with the help of 20 goals put in the net and also 10 goals conceded. Napoli finished with 18 SVs and also held a SV rate of 67.9 in the previous season.

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AC Milan had 16 goals and this squad's expected goals in the previous season was 12.7. The team's goals against per 90 was 1.00 in addition to 23 saves, and they accumulated 4 shut outs. On the campaign, the Red and Blacks had a save % of 75.0 (32 shots on target against), and also were 2nd in Serie A with 21 points. AC Milan sat at 5th in goals allowed with 9, and the goal differential was 7. AC Milan recorded a clean sheet rate of 44.4 during the previous year as well as 24 yellow cards. The Red and Blacks had an average of 2.3 pts per match while tallying 11 assists and 3 red cards.

The man who will protect the net for Napoli will be Alex Meret. His goals against per 90 mins is 1.03 (153 goals allowed) and he has a save % of 74.9. Meret (85-34-29 record during his career) has accumulated 50 clean sheets, which leaves him with a 33.6% clean sheet rate. Meret has been on the field for 13,386 minutes and has earned 400 stops in his career. The goalkeeper from Italy has faced 553 shots sent his way in 149 career starts.

Mike Maignan will reside in front of the goal for AC Milan. He has given up 0.94 goals per 90 minutes while holding a mark of 113-45-49. Maignan has tallied 84 shutouts while defending 699 shots against him in 18,644 minutes throughout his career. In his career, Maignan has conceded 195 goals and has racked up 505 stops in 207 starting assignments. He sports a save percentage of 74.8 and his shutout rate is currently 40.6%.

Matteo Politano is one member of the squad you are going to want to keep your eye on for Napoli. He has accounted for 36 assists while accumulating 29 yellow card cautions in his pro soccer career. The forward from Italy has recorded 56 goals scored in 19,688 mins played. Politano has been given a starting assignment in 229 contests in his career and accounts for 0.26 goals per 90 mins.

AC Milan stars Rafael Leao, who the defense is sure to gameplan for in this matchup. The forward from Portugal has been on the pitch for 10,300 minutes and has earned 50 goals. He averages 0.44 goals per 90 and has had a starting assignment in 115 games in his career. He has accumulated 20 yellow cards in his career and has helped on a goal 32 times.

Who will win tonight's soccer game against the spread?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take AC Milan (+216)

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