Monza vs Lecce Prediction, 9/17/2023 Serie A Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

by Guy Bruhn - 9/12/2023

Game: Monza vs Lecce

Date: Sunday, September 17, 2023

Location: Stadio Brianteo in Monza, Italy

TV: Paramount+

Odds/Point Spread: Monza (+115) Lecce (+248)

Stadio Brianteo is where Lecce (2-1-0 last season) will meet Monza (1-0-2 last year) on Sunday. The Yellow and Reds are at at +248 and the White and Reds are at +115. The over/under is 2.5. The expected starting goalies will be Michele Di Gregorio for Monza and Wladimiro Falcone for Lecce.

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Monza had a total of 12 SVs and also held a SV percentage of 70.6 last season. This team's goal differential was -3 by means of 2 goals earned as well as 5 goals surrendered. For the previous year, the club averaged 1.00 points per fixture (3 points) and also were 13th in the league with 2 assists. The White and Reds were 12th in regard to xG with 3.1, and the squad's expected goals against came in at 4.9. Monza were sitting with 5 yellow card warnings last season. Monza conceded 5 goals while surrendering 1.67 G/90, and opposing teams accounted for 17 shots on target on them. They had a total of 1 clean sheet, which had them sitting at a percentage of 33.3 over the course of last season.

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For the season, U.S. Lecce had a save rate of 75.0 (12 SoT against), and they also ranked 4th in the league with 7 points. The Yellow and Reds had an average of 2.3 points per contest while accumulating 5 assists. Lecce tallied 6 goals and the team's xG in the prior season was 3.4. Lecce accumulated a CS% of 33.3 for the prior year as well as 9 yellow card warnings. The team's goals against/90 min sat at 1.00 in addition to 9 saves, and they amassed 1 clean sheet. Lecce ranked 5th when talking about goals surrendered having 3, and their goal difference sat at 3.

The guy who is expected to defend the goal for Monza is Michele Di Gregorio. Di Gregorio has defended the goal for 12,299 minutes and has earned 395 saves thus far in his career. His GA/90 is 1.13 (154 total goals surrendered) and his save percentage is 73.9. The keeper from Italy has had 533 shots tried at him in 137 career starts. Di Gregorio (61-37-39 record in his career) has earned 48 shutouts, which has earned him a 35.0% clean sheet percentage.

Wladimiro Falcone will reside in front of the net for Lecce. Falcone has racked up 18 shutouts and has seen 427 shots against him in 7,965 career mins. He is the owner of a save % of 76.8 and his clean sheet rate is currently 20.5%. He has surrendered 1.25 goals per 90 while he holds a mark of 18-31-39. In his pro soccer career, Falcone has given up 111 goals and has accounted for 326 saves in 88 starts.

Gianluca Caprari is one member of the side who can create chances for Monza. The forward from Italy has totaled 69 goals scored in 20,689 minutes played. Caprari has started 239 matchups in his career and he accounts for 0.30 G/90. He has 36 assists while accumulating 43 yellow card warnings so far in his career.

Lecce has a player in Gabriel Strefezza, who the defense is sure to gameplan for in this matchup. The forward who is from Brazil has accumulated 195 mins while scoring 1 goals. He is averaging 0.46 goals per 90 mins and has had a starting assignment in 2 matches so far in his pro soccer career. He has accumulated 1 yellow card during his soccer career and has helped on a goal 0 times.

Who will win tonight's Serie A game against the spread?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Monza (+115)

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Monza vs Lecce Prediction, 9/17/2023 Serie A Soccer Pick, Tips and Odds

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